Saturday , 17 October 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao 28,279 HT 45' · FT 45'
Christian 51' 1–0
Lucas Romero 66' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.

Match Details

  • Referee Raphael Claus
  • Assistant 1 Alex Ang Ribeiro
  • Assistant 2 Luiz Alberto Andrini Nogueira
12 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
12 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
04 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 1–4 L
01 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–0 W
22 Mar Santos FC H 0–0 D
18 Mar CA Paranaense A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
11 Apr SC Internacional A 0–0 D
05 Apr Clube do Remo H 0–0 D
03 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
22 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
19 Mar EC Vitoria H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Cruzeiro EC Gremio FBPA
#6 Position #18
48 Points 31
30 Played 30
14 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
46 Scored 32
44 Conceded 40
+2 GD -8
1.60 PPG 1.03
47% Win % 23%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Cruzeiro EC are 6th (48 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/7
31-45
8/5
46-60
6/2
61-75
6/2
76+
11/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Matheus Pereira 9 G 5 A
Kaio Jorge 8 G 2 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.81 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Cruzeiro EC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC62% Draw24% Gremio FBPA14%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
85%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
38%
Cruzeiro EC or Gremio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC42% Draw46% Gremio FBPA12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 25% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.