Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 20 Nov 2024 · 22:00 UTC Arena do Gremio 40,196 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 45+6' Luiz Mandaca
1–2 52' Lucas Barbosa
Franco Cristaldo 90+4' 2–2
Diego Costa 27' Y
Y 28' Joao Lucas
Y 38' Luiz Mandaca
Geromel 45' Y
Y 61' Ewerthon
Y 90' Jadson

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov EC Juventude H 2–2 D
09 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
02 Nov Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
26 Oct AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
19 Oct SC Internacional A 0–1 L
09 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov Grêmio FBPA A 2–2 D
09 Nov EC Bahia H 2–1 W
02 Nov Fortaleza EC H 0–3 L
26 Oct CR Flamengo A 2–4 L
20 Oct SE Palmeiras H 3–5 L
06 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Grêmio FBPA host EC Juventude — let the battle begin!
  • 3' Gremio FBPA is taking the lead after the goal scored by Martin Braithwaite on 3.
  • 8' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 8.
  • 13' Erick is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Juventude tonight.
  • 14' Lucas Barbosa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 14.
  • 19' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a 4-2-2-2 today, looking to exploit space against EC Juventude's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and EC Juventude are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Diego Costa on 27 minutes.
  • 28' Joao Lucas is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
  • 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and EC Juventude are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 38' The referee shows EC Juventude player a card on 38.
  • 43' Grêmio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Geromel is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 45.
  • 45' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 45 minute. Rodrigo Ely leaves to be changed by Gustavo Martins.
  • 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Grêmio FBPA and EC Juventude are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 51' Luiz Mandaca adds to his 0 season tally! EC Juventude lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 52' Lucas Barbosa doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 54' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Joao Pedro Pepe is withdrawn and Cristian Pavon gets his opportunity.
  • 59' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ewerthon on 61.
  • 65' The whistle greets Gabriel Taliari as he departs to be replaced by Nene.
  • 66' Another substitution for EC Juventude to replace Lucas Barbosa by Marcelinho on 66 minute.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 75' Ewerthon makes way for Ze Marcos at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Juventude.
  • 76' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Diego Costa exits the field as Matias Arezo enters on 76.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Yeferson Soteldo on, Geromel off on 77 minutes.
  • 80' The EC Juventude bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Gabriel Inocencio gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 90' Jadson is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or EC Juventude 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA41% Draw26% EC Juventude33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
67%
Draw or EC Juventude
59%
Grêmio FBPA or EC Juventude
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA30% Draw43% EC Juventude27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.