CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 30 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | CA Mineiro | 31 | 48 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 31 | 40 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 31 | 39 |
| 13 | Mirassol FC | 31 | 36 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 15 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 31 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 30 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jul | Cuiaba EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jul | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Jul | AC Goianiense | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Jul | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #18 |
| 53 | Points | 31 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 15 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 13 |
| 49 | Scored | 32 |
| 35 | Conceded | 40 |
| +14 | GD | -8 |
| 1.77 | PPG | 1.03 |
| 50% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (53 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
6/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/4
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. CA Paranaense get us underway at Arena da Baixada.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 16' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mateo Gamarra on 16.
- 18' Gustavo Martins adds to his 3 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 21' Magnificent from Miguel Monsalve! That is 3 goals in 2 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 26' Gremio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Paranaense in their 3-3-3-1 trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 36' CA Paranaense are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 41' Gremio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 46' The CA Paranaense bench stirs into life. Bruno Zapelli is withdrawn and Pablo Felipe gets his opportunity.
- 51' named a 3-3-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gremio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Fernandinho. He replaces Nikao on 59 minute.
- 64' CA Paranaense are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 65' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Alexander Aravena on, Miguel Monsalve off on 65 minutes.
- 70' Mayk needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 72' CA Paranaense make a change. Christian trudges off to be replaced by Agustin Canobbio on 72 minutes.
- 75' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ronald is hanging Joao Pedro Pepe on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 81' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Reinaldo on, Mayk off on 81 minutes.
- 82' A moment of madness from Tomas Cuello on 82 minutes earns him a card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 87' Julimar has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
- The points are shared — CA Paranaense 0-2 Gremio FBPA. Honours even.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-3-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
11
Nikao ↓ Fernandinho 59'
-
4
Kaique Rocha ↓ Madson 46'
-
26
Erick ↓ Tomas Cuello 46'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Pablo Felipe 46'
-
88
Christian ↓ Agustin Canobbio 72'
- 20
- 37
- 24
- 15
- 7
Bench
-
22
Madson ↑ 46'
- 44
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 46'
-
5
Fernandinho ↑ 59'
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 46'
- 9
- 45
-
14
Agustin Canobbio ↑ 72'
- 41
- 6
- 57
- 30
Coach
Martin Varini
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
14
Nathan ↓ Du Queiroz 75'
- 17
- 2
- 15
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↓ Ronald 75'
- 26
- 53
- 36
- 33
- 11
- 39
Bench
- 3
- 4
- 97
-
6
Reinaldo ↑ 81'
- 18
- 10
- 9
-
37
Du Queiroz ↑ 75'
- 45
-
35
Ronald ↑ 75'
- 32
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 65'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cuiabano | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Matheus | 2 |
| Thiago Santos | 2 |
| Pedro Rocha | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Bruno Uvini | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.45
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Gremio FBPA 72% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
64%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
64%
CA Paranaense or Gremio FBPA
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

