Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | RB Bragantino | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Cuiaba EC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | Criciúma EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jul | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 48 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 44 | Scored | 43 |
| 36 | Conceded | 35 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 46% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Maracana!
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Maracana. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Caio Alexandre has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Diogo Barbosa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
- 30' Samuel Xavier is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 35' Cauly needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 36' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
- 38' The crowd applauds Gilberto as he leaves the pitch. Santiago Arias steps in for EC Bahia.
- 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' Elias Kaua doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Thiago Santos is replaced by Antonio Carlos.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fluminense FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Thiago Silva on 62.
- 62' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Everaldo departs to be replaced by Thaciano.
- 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 71' Alexsander Gomes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Martinelli at the 71 minute mark.
- 72' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Elias Kaua has done his job and it is now time for Keno to step up.
- 76' Kevin Serna makes way for Lima at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 81' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 83' John Kennedy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ganso on 83 minute.
- 84' Carlos De Pena catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 89' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cauly.
- Fluminense FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Antonio Carlos 46'
- 3
-
10
Ganso ↓ John Kennedy 83'
- 7
- 21
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Alexsander Gomes 71'
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ Keno 72'
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Lima 76'
Bench
- 98
-
25
Antonio Carlos ↑ 46'
- 30
- 23
- 12
-
11
Keno ↑ 72'
- 20
- 4
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 83'
-
45
Lima ↑ 76'
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 71'
- 53
Coach
Mano Menezes
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
- 10
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 38'
- 22
- 4
- 25
- 9
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Carlos De Pena 76'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Rafael Ratao 76'
- 3
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Cauly 62'
Bench
-
16
Thaciano ↑ 62'
- 20
-
8
Cauly ↑ 62'
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 38'
- 31
- 15
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 76'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 76'
- 33
- 46
- 23
- 77
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
54%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

