Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | RB Bragantino | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Cuiaba EC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | Criciúma EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jul | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 38 | Points | 33 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 10 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 34 | Scored | 29 |
| 28 | Conceded | 25 |
| +6 | GD | +4 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 43% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fluminense FC and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' The referee calls foul for Diogo Barbosa. He receives a card.
- 30' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 35' Brazil international Jean Lucas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 36' The referee has no hesitation. Thiago Santos is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 36.
- 38' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Gilberto is replaced by Santiago Arias.
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' GOAL! Elias Kaua fires home to make it 1-0!
- 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Thiago Santos departs to be replaced by Antonio Carlos.
- 51' Thiago Santos has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 0% of all matches.
- 62' A moment of madness from Thiago Silva on 62 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 62' Thaciano is replacing Everaldo for the EC Bahia side.
- 67' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 71' Fluminense FC make a change. Martinelli trudges off to be replaced by Alexsander Gomes on 71 minutes.
- 72' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Keno on, Elias Kaua off on 72 minutes.
- 76' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 76 minute. Kevin Serna leaves to be changed by Lima.
- 81' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 83' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Ganso exits the field as John Kennedy enters on 83.
- 84' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Carlos De Pena gets a card.
- 89' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 90' Cauly has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- With this win, Fluminense FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Antonio Carlos 46'
- 3
-
10
Ganso ↓ John Kennedy 83'
- 7
- 21
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Alexsander Gomes 71'
-
19
Elias Kaua ↓ Keno 72'
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Lima 76'
Bench
- 98
-
25
Antonio Carlos ↑ 46'
- 30
- 23
- 12
-
11
Keno ↑ 72'
- 20
- 4
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 83'
-
45
Lima ↑ 76'
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 71'
- 53
Coach
Mano Menezes
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
- 10
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 38'
- 22
- 4
- 25
- 9
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Carlos De Pena 76'
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Rafael Ratao 76'
- 3
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Cauly 62'
Bench
-
16
Thaciano ↑ 62'
- 20
-
8
Cauly ↑ 62'
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 38'
- 31
- 15
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 76'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 76'
- 33
- 46
- 23
- 77
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Caio Alexandre | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
54%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

