Germany vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Germany Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mesut Ozil | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Mesut Ozil | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
Germany Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.62
Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Germany win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Germany or Draw
76%
Draw or Italy
51%
Germany or Italy
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Germany win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Germany
| Handicap | Germany covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Germany keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Italy keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.