Italy vs Germany, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Germany gets underway.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Germany Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mesut Ozil | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Mesut Ozil | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8
Germany xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
81%
Draw or Germany
46%
Italy or Germany
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Germany covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Germany keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.