Ukraine vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Ukraine Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.14
Ukraine xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Ukraine or Italy 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
56%
Draw or Italy
72%
Ukraine or Italy
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Ukraine
| Handicap | Ukraine covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.