Sweden vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Sweden Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Sweden Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Sweden or Draw
54%
Draw or Italy
75%
Sweden or Italy
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Sweden
| Handicap | Sweden covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 23% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Sweden keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.