Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Germany vs Italy, European Championship 2016 QUARTER FINALS

1 – 1
6 – 5 pen
Full Time
Sat 2 Jul 2016 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Germany vs Italy — European Championship .

  • Germany 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Farkas
  • Referee Tamas Bognar
  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Referee Viktor Kassai
  • Referee Gyorgy Ring
  • Referee Vencel Toth

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Germany 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Italy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Italy H 1–1 D
26 Jun Slovakia H 3–0 W
21 Jun Northern Ireland A 1–0 W
16 Jun Poland H 0–0 D
12 Jun Ukraine H 2–0 W
08 May FC Porto H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Germany A 1–1 D
27 Jun Spain H 2–0 W
22 Jun Ireland H 0–1 L
17 Jun Sweden H 1–0 W
13 Jun Belgium A 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Germany this season
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Germany and Italy get this one started.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Germany and Italy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Italy fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 16' Germany manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bastian Schweinsteiger is hanging Sami Khedira on the field on 16 minute.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Germany side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Antonio Conte will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' Italy come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' Germany currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 51' Italy are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Stefano Sturaro on 56 minutes.
  • 57' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mattia De Sciglio on 57 minutes.
  • 59' Italy player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 65' Mesut Ozil has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
  • 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Italy that had 111 games and scored 42 goals.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Mario Gomez as he leaves the pitch. Julian Draxler steps in for Germany.
  • 77' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 78' Leonardo Bonucci does the damage! The net is bulging and Italy surge ahead!
  • 83' Stefano Sturaro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Matteo Darmian. He replaces Alessandro Florenzi on 86 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Mats Hummels on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Germany will be frustrated.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16 Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Italy xG
I would bet for: Germany or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Germany38% Draw30% Italy32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Germany or Draw
69%
Draw or Italy
62%
Germany or Italy
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Germany25% Draw51% Italy24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Germany

Handicap Germany covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Germany keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.