Germany vs Italy, European Championship 2016 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Germany vs Italy — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Adam Farkas
- Referee Tamas Bognar
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Referee Viktor Kassai
- Referee Gyorgy Ring
- Referee Vencel Toth
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Germany
| Jamal Musiala | 3 G | |
| Kai Havertz | 2 G | 1 A |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 G | |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 G | |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 G | 1 A |
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Germany and Italy has kicked off!
- 5' Simone Zaza needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Mesut Ozil has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 16' The Germany manager makes a substitution. Sami Khedira departs to be replaced by Bastian Schweinsteiger.
- 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Germany and Italy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 26' Germany are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Italy's shape.
- 31' Italy fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 41' Italy are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Graziano Pelle has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 380 appearances.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 56' Stefano Sturaro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 56.
- 57' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mattia De Sciglio.
- 59' Italy receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 59.
- 64' Germany international Mario Gomez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 65' Mesut Ozil adds to his 0 season tally! Germany lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 70' Germany are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Italy backline.
- 72' The whistle greets Mario Gomez as he departs to be replaced by Julian Draxler.
- 77' With 0 assists to his name this season, Matteo Darmian is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Italy.
- 78' The Italy Leonardo Bonucci breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 1-1!
- 83' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 86' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matteo Darmian is hanging Alessandro Florenzi on the field on 86 minute.
- 90' Mats Hummels is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Germany Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 1
- 17
- 5
- 21
- 13
-
23
Mario Gomez ↓ Julian Draxler 72'
- 3
- 18
- 6
- 4
Bench
- 12
- 2
- 20
- 9
-
11
Julian Draxler ↑ 72'
- 16
- 19
- 15
- 22
- 14
- 10
-
7
Bastian Schweinsteiger ↑ 16'
Coach
Joachim Low
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 15
-
3
Giorgio Chiellini ↓ Simone Zaza 120'
- 2
- 8
- 18
- 23
- 14
- 9
-
17
Eder ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 107'
Bench
-
4
Matteo Darmian ↑ 86'
- 5
- 21
-
20
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 107'
- 16
- 22
- 12
-
7
Simone Zaza ↑ 120'
- 6
- 11
- 13
Coach
Antonio Conte
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Mesut Ozil | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Mesut Ozil | 1 |
Head to Head
Germany Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16
Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Germany or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Germany or Draw
69%
Draw or Italy
62%
Germany or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Germany
| Handicap | Germany covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Germany keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.