Germany vs Italy, European Championship 2016 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Germany vs Italy — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Adam Farkas
- Referee Tamas Bognar
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Referee Viktor Kassai
- Referee Gyorgy Ring
- Referee Vencel Toth
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Germany
| Jamal Musiala | 3 G | |
| Kai Havertz | 2 G | 1 A |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 G | |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 G | |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 G | 1 A |
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Germany kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Germany must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 16' The crowd applauds Sami Khedira as he leaves the pitch. Bastian Schweinsteiger steps in for Germany.
- 21' Sami Khedira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 26' Germany is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' Germany currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 36' Stefano Sturaro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 41' Marco Parolo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' Over 46 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 51' Germany are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Italy backline.
- 56' Italy receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 56.
- 57' Mattia De Sciglio was booked on 57.
- 59' Marco Parolo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 59.
- 64' Germany seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Mesut Ozil makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 65.
- 70' Italy are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 72' The crowd applauds Mario Gomez as he leaves the pitch. Julian Draxler steps in for Germany.
- 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lorenzo Insigne, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 78' Leonardo Bonucci has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
- 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 86' Another substitution for Italy to replace Alessandro Florenzi by Matteo Darmian on 86 minute.
- 90' Germany player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Germany Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 1
- 17
- 5
- 21
- 13
-
23
Mario Gomez ↓ Julian Draxler 72'
- 3
- 18
- 6
- 4
Bench
- 12
- 2
- 20
- 9
-
11
Julian Draxler ↑ 72'
- 16
- 19
- 15
- 22
- 14
- 10
-
7
Bastian Schweinsteiger ↑ 16'
Coach
Joachim Low
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 15
-
3
Giorgio Chiellini ↓ Simone Zaza 120'
- 2
- 8
- 18
- 23
- 14
- 9
-
17
Eder ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 107'
Bench
-
4
Matteo Darmian ↑ 86'
- 5
- 21
-
20
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 107'
- 16
- 22
- 12
-
7
Simone Zaza ↑ 120'
- 6
- 11
- 13
Coach
Antonio Conte
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Mesut Ozil | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Mesut Ozil | 1 |
Head to Head
Germany Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16
Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Germany or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Germany or Draw
69%
Draw or Italy
62%
Germany or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Germany
| Handicap | Germany covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Germany keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.