Thursday , 2 July 2026

Germany vs Italy, European Championship 2016 QUARTER FINALS

1 1
6 – 5 pen
Full Time
Sat 2 Jul 2016 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Germany vs ItalyEuropean Championship .

  • Germany 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Farkas
  • Referee Tamas Bognar
  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Referee Viktor Kassai
  • Referee Gyorgy Ring
  • Referee Vencel Toth

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Germany 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Italy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Italy H 1–1 D
26 Jun Slovakia H 3–0 W
21 Jun Northern Ireland A 1–0 W
16 Jun Poland H 0–0 D
12 Jun Ukraine H 2–0 W
08 May FC Porto H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Germany A 1–1 D
27 Jun Spain H 2–0 W
22 Jun Republic of Ireland H 0–1 L
17 Jun Sweden H 1–0 W
13 Jun Belgium A 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Germany this season
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Germany
0-15
1/
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Germany kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Germany must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 16' The crowd applauds Sami Khedira as he leaves the pitch. Bastian Schweinsteiger steps in for Germany.
  • 21' Sami Khedira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 26' Germany is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 31' Germany currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 36' Stefano Sturaro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 41' Marco Parolo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' Over 46 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 51' Germany are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Italy backline.
  • 56' Italy receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 56.
  • 57' Mattia De Sciglio was booked on 57.
  • 59' Marco Parolo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 59.
  • 64' Germany seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 65' Brilliant from the ! Mesut Ozil makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 65.
  • 70' Italy are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Mario Gomez as he leaves the pitch. Julian Draxler steps in for Germany.
  • 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lorenzo Insigne, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 78' Leonardo Bonucci has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' Another substitution for Italy to replace Alessandro Florenzi by Matteo Darmian on 86 minute.
  • 90' Germany player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16 Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Italy xG
I would bet for: Germany or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Germany38% Draw30% Italy32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Germany or Draw
69%
Draw or Italy
62%
Germany or Italy
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Germany25% Draw51% Italy24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Germany

Handicap Germany covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Germany keeps clean sheet
34%
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.