Italy vs Poland, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Poland Lineups
H2H
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
79%
Draw or Poland
48%
Italy or Poland
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Poland keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.