FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 34 games · 89 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
5 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 0–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #1 |
| 26 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 29 | Scored | 122 |
| 60 | Conceded | 36 |
| -31 | GD | +86 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 18% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC St. Pauli 1910 to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 9' Jamal Musiala does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 14' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 19' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 19.
- 24' Tom Bischof has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arkadiusz Pyrka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
- 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 49' Raphael Guerreiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
- 52' The referee has no hesitation. Joel Fujita is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 52.
- 53' What composure from Leon Goretzka! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Michael Olise makes it 0-3.
- 58' Josip Stanisic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Konrad Laimer on 58 minute.
- 59' The crowd applauds Joshua Kimmich as he leaves the pitch. Alphonso Davies steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
- 64' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 65' Magnificent from Nicolas Jackson! That is 42 goals in 407 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 66' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Joel Fujita departs to be replaced by Connor Metcalfe.
- 67' Jonathan Tah gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Hiroki Ito and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 77' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Andreas Hountondji departs to be replaced by Martijn Kaars.
- 82' Lars Ritzka, a Germany , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 84' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Bara Sapoko Ndiaye comes on to replace Jamal Musiala.
- 88' Magnificent from Raphael Guerreiro! That is 45 goals in 521 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 88' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Mathias Pereira Lage departs to be replaced by Taichi Hara.
- With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 28
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Louis Oppie 77'
- 10
- 20
- 22
-
16
Joel Fujita ↓ Connor Metcalfe 66'
- 27
- 11
- 15
Bench
-
18
Taichi Hara ↑ 88'
- 25
-
24
Connor Metcalfe ↑ 66'
- 1
- 4
-
23
Louis Oppie ↑ 77'
-
19
Martijn Kaars ↑ 77'
- 9
- 34
Coach
Alexander Blessin
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 8
- 22
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↓ Josip Stanisic 58'
-
21
Hiroki Ito ↓ Jonathan Tah 67'
-
17
Michael Olise ↓ Luis Diaz 59'
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↓ Bara Ndiaye 84'
- 3
- 20
- 11
Bench
- 9
-
4
Jonathan Tah ↑ 67'
- 2
-
14
Luis Diaz ↑ 59'
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 59'
-
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 58'
- 40
- 45
-
39
Bara Ndiaye ↑ 84'
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Leroy Sane | 2 |
| Leon Goretzka | 1 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
| Nicolas Jackson | 1 |
| Harry Kane | 1 |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
L
2026-04-05
1. FC Union Berlin
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2026-03-22
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–2
SC Freiburg
L
2026-03-13
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-03-08
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2026-02-28
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
FC Bayern Munchen Form
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-07
Real Madrid CF
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-04
SC Freiburg
2–3
FC Bayern München
W
2026-03-21
FC Bayern München
4–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-03-18
FC Bayern München
4–1
Atalanta BC
L
2026-03-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
FC Bayern München
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.67
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.42
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
FC Bayern Munchen to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
24%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
90%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern Munchen
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 3
11.2%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 4
9.4%
1 – 3
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
0 – 6
3.7%
1 – 6
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -1.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -0.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| +0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +1 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| +1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +2 | 29% | 20% | 50% |
| +2.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

