Thursday , 6 August 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Jamal Musiala
0–2 53' Leon Goretzka
0–3 54' Michael Olise
0–4 65' Nicolas Jackson
0–5 88' Raphael Guerreiro

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern MunchenBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
13 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–2 L
08 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
28 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 FC Bayern München
#18 Position #1
26 Points 89
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
29 Scored 122
60 Conceded 36
-31 GD +86
0.76 PPG 2.62
18% Win % 82%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC St. Pauli 1910 to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 9' Jamal Musiala does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 14' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 19' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 19.
  • 24' Tom Bischof has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arkadiusz Pyrka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 49' Raphael Guerreiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
  • 52' The referee has no hesitation. Joel Fujita is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 52.
  • 53' What composure from Leon Goretzka! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Michael Olise makes it 0-3.
  • 58' Josip Stanisic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Konrad Laimer on 58 minute.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Joshua Kimmich as he leaves the pitch. Alphonso Davies steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 64' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 65' Magnificent from Nicolas Jackson! That is 42 goals in 407 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 66' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Joel Fujita departs to be replaced by Connor Metcalfe.
  • 67' Jonathan Tah gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Hiroki Ito and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Andreas Hountondji departs to be replaced by Martijn Kaars.
  • 82' Lars Ritzka, a Germany , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 84' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Bara Sapoko Ndiaye comes on to replace Jamal Musiala.
  • 88' Magnificent from Raphael Guerreiro! That is 45 goals in 521 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Mathias Pereira Lage departs to be replaced by Taichi Hara.
  • With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.67 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.42 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern Munchen to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191010% Draw14% FC Bayern Munchen76%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
24%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
90%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern Munchen
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 19105% Draw27% FC Bayern Munchen68%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
11.2%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 4
9.4%
1 – 3
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
0 – 6
3.7%
1 – 6
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 3% 96%
-0.5 4% 96%
+0.5 14% 86%
+1 14% 16% 71%
+1.5 29% 71%
+2 29% 20% 50%
+2.5 50% 50%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
4%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.