Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
Andrej Ilic 52' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Thorben Siewer

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
21 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–4 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg A 1–0 W
08 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 1–4 L
28 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
13 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–2 L
08 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
28 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
22 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin FC St. Pauli 1910
#17 Position #3
0 Points 26
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 60
+0 GD -31
PPG 0.76
Win % 18%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FC Union Berlin kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Tunisia international Rani Khedira has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' FC St. Pauli 1910 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' Mathias Pereira Lage doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' 1. FC Union Berlin is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' FC St. Pauli 1910 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 50' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 52' What a moment for Andrej Ilic! That strike on 52 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FC Union Berlin side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Martijn Kaars as he leaves the pitch. Andreas Hountondji steps in for FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mathias Rasmussen made 6 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FC Union Berlin is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 73' Fresh legs for 1. FC Union Berlin! Alex Kral comes on to replace Jeong Wooyeong.
  • 78' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Andras Schafer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 80' The whistle greets Oliver Burke as he departs to be replaced by Ilyas Ansah.
  • 81' 1. FC Union Berlin make a change. Derrick Kohn trudges off to be replaced by Tom Rothe on 81 minutes.
  • 85' That is a card for FC St. Pauli 1910. Jackson Irvine will be fuming at that decision.
  • 89' The whistle greets Mathias Rasmussen as he departs to be replaced by Abdoulie Ceesay.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Jackson Irvine argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The points are shared — 1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 FC St. Pauli 1910. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.53 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin32% Draw41% FC St. Pauli 191027%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
73%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
68%
1. FC Union Berlin or FC St. Pauli 1910
59%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin14% Draw71% FC St. Pauli 191015%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
35.8%
0 – 1
17.1%
1 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
1%
0 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.7%
1 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 19% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 21% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
56%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
59%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.