FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 8 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- GD Estoril Praia 8 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Antonio Nobre
- Assistant 1 Francisco Pereira (Portugal)
- Assistant 2 Goncalo Freire
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente FC | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Alverca | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Moreirense FC | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | CS Maritimo | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicao | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave FC | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitoria SC | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | CD Nacional | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 8 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | GD Estoril Praia | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Mar | FC Famalicao | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Feb | FC Porto | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Feb | CD Nacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | FC Arouca | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | CD Nacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Gil Vicente FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #18 |
| 14 | Points | 2 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 6 |
| 11 | Scored | 4 |
| 7 | Conceded | 12 |
| +4 | GD | -8 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 0.25 |
| 50% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
14%
Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season
GD Estoril Praia this season
FC Arouca are 5th (14 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 18th (2 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Arouca
| Barbero | 5 G |
| Jose Fontan | 2 G |
| Dylan Nandin | 2 G |
GD Estoril Praia
| Yanis Begraoui | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Municipal de Arouca will turn into a battlefield for FC Arouca and GD Estoril Praia.
- 3' Xeka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 3 minutes.
- 8' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ian Cathro might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 13' GOAL! Barbero scores on 13. Assisted by Nais Djouahra
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bas Kuipers suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' Jordan Holsgrove has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 23.
- 28' FC Arouca is showing some good football. However, FC Arouca are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 32' Goal! Yanis Begraoui scores his 32 goal in 439 matches.
- 37' The travelling GD Estoril Praia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 47' Magnificent from Jose Fontan! That is 10 goals in 328 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 52' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 55' The Spain Pablo Gozalbez breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 3-2!
- 56' Poor challenge from Pablo Gozalbez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' Another change for GD Estoril Praia made on 65 minute. Xeka leaves to be changed by Alejandro Marques.
- 70' Hyun-Ju Lee has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 71' Andre picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 74' Another change for GD Estoril Praia made on 74 minute. Andre leaves to be changed by Peixinho.
- 77' The whistle greets Pablo Gozalbez as he departs to be replaced by Puche.
- 82' Scotland international Jordan Holsgrove has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 83' Fresh legs for FC Arouca! Pedro Santos comes on to replace Barbero.
- 88' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Arouca and GD Estoril Praia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ignacio De Arruabarrena.
- 90' Fally Mayulu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nais Djouahra on 90 minute.
- Full Time. FC Arouca beats GD Estoril Praia
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
-
7
Nais Djouahra ↓ Fally Mayulu 90'
- 15
-
17
Barbero ↓ Pedro Santos 83'
- 28
-
10
Pablo Gozalbez ↓ Puche 77'
- 3
-
21
Taichi Fukui ↓ Brian Mansilla 83'
- 12
-
14
Hyun-Ju Lee ↓ Mateo Flores 90'
- 22
Bench
- 1
- 44
- 5
- 6
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 83'
-
11
Puche ↑ 77'
-
9
Fally Mayulu ↑ 90'
-
24
Brian Mansilla ↑ 83'
-
46
Mateo Flores ↑ 90'
Coach
Vasco Seabra
GD Estoril Praia Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
12
Joao Carvalho ↓ Pizzi 65'
-
8
Xeka ↓ Alejandro Marques 65'
- 14
- 1
-
24
Pedro Amaral ↓ Pedro Carvalho 65'
- 2
- 25
- 6
- 10
- 19
- 5
Bench
-
21
Pizzi ↑ 65'
- 16
-
9
Alejandro Marques ↑ 65'
- 31
-
70
Peixinho ↑ 74'
-
22
Pedro Carvalho ↑ 65'
- 97
- 7
Coach
Ian Cathro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Marques | 3 |
| Rafa Mujica | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Oday Dabbagh | 2 |
| Jordan Holsgrove | 2 |
| Yanis Begraoui | 1 |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 1 |
| Barbero | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
GD Estoril Praia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.96
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
80%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
44%
FC Arouca or GD Estoril Praia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | GD Estoril Praia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

