CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga .
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- GD Estoril Praia 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Miguel Fonseca (Portugal)
6 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 9.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | GD Estoril Praia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | FC Arouca | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | FC Porto | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Feb | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | CD Nacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Gil Vicente FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | AVS | A | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Feb | CD Tondela | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #10 |
| 34 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 37 | Scored | 54 |
| 45 | Conceded | 57 |
| -8 | GD | -3 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 26% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
15%
Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season
GD Estoril Praia this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 10th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
1/6
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for CD Nacional and GD Estoril Praia.
- With this win, GD Estoril Praia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
GD Estoril Praia Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Carvalho | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Daniel Penha | 1 |
| Felix Bacher | 1 |
| Andre | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
GD Estoril Praia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: GD Estoril Praia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
63%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
66%
CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | GD Estoril Praia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

