Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril PraiaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Fonseca (Portugal)
6 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 9.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar GD Estoril Praia H 0–1 L
07 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–2 L
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
15 Feb FC Porto H 0–1 L
08 Feb Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar CD Nacional A 1–0 W
07 Mar Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D
27 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 3–1 W
15 Feb AVS A 0–3 L
07 Feb CD Tondela H 2–2 D

Season Stats

CD Nacional GD Estoril Praia
#14 Position #10
34 Points 39
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
37 Scored 54
45 Conceded 57
-8 GD -3
1.00 PPG 1.15
26% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
15% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 10th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
1/6
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional34% Draw29% GD Estoril Praia37%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
63%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
66%
CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional26% Draw49% GD Estoril Praia25%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push GD Estoril Praia covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
29%
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.