Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Fonseca (Portugal)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar GD Estoril Praia H 0–1 L
07 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–2 L
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
15 Feb FC Porto H 0–1 L
08 Feb Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar CD Nacional A 1–0 W
07 Mar Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D
27 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 3–1 W
15 Feb AVS A 0–3 L
07 Feb CD Tondela H 2–2 D

Season Stats

CD Nacional GD Estoril Praia
#15 Position #18
4 Points 2
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 5
7 Scored 3
15 Conceded 10
-8 GD -7
0.57 PPG 0.29
14% Win % 0%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
17% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 18th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G
GD Estoril Praia
Yanis Begraoui 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + CD Nacional or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional37% Draw33% GD Estoril Praia30%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
70%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
63%
CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional26% Draw56% GD Estoril Praia18%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push GD Estoril Praia covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.