Saturday , 14 November 2026

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Fonseca (Portugal)
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar GD Estoril Praia H 0–1 L
07 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–2 L
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
15 Feb FC Porto H 0–1 L
08 Feb Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar CD Nacional A 1–0 W
07 Mar Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D
27 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 3–1 W
15 Feb AVS A 0–3 L
07 Feb CD Tondela H 2–2 D

Season Stats

CD Nacional GD Estoril Praia
#13 Position #18
10 Points 2
11 Played 10
3 / 1 / 7 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 8
11 Scored 5
19 Conceded 19
-8 GD -14
0.91 PPG 0.20
27% Win % 0%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
11% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season

CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 18th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
–/4
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/6
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Matchoi Djalo 2 G
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
GD Estoril Praia
Yanis Begraoui 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional42% Draw31% GD Estoril Praia27%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
73%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
58%
CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional31% Draw53% GD Estoril Praia16%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push GD Estoril Praia covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.