Thursday , 2 July 2026

Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Moreirense FC vs FC AroucaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
9 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FC Arouca H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Porto A 0–3 L
07 Mar CD Nacional H 1–1 D
01 Mar Casa Pia AC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–3 L
16 Feb Rio Ave FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–0 W
14 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
06 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
27 Feb FC Porto A 1–3 L
21 Feb CD Nacional H 3–0 W
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Moreirense FC FC Arouca
#7 Position #8
43 Points 42
34 Played 34
12 / 7 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
37 Scored 47
49 Conceded 64
-12 GD -17
1.26 PPG 1.24
35% Win % 35%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Moreirense FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Moreirense FC gets underway.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Arouca players.

Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Moreirense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Moreirense FC or FC Arouca 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Moreirense FC40% Draw29% FC Arouca31%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Moreirense FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Arouca
60%
Moreirense FC or FC Arouca
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC29% Draw48% FC Arouca23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Moreirense FC

Handicap Moreirense FC covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
30%
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.