Sunday , 16 August 2026

Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Moreirense FC vs FC AroucaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FC Arouca H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Porto A 0–3 L
07 Mar CD Nacional H 1–1 D
01 Mar Casa Pia AC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–3 L
16 Feb Rio Ave FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–0 W
14 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
06 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
27 Feb FC Porto A 1–3 L
21 Feb CD Nacional H 3–0 W
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Moreirense FC FC Arouca
#8 Position #5
1 Points 3
1 Played 1
0 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 0
2 Scored 1
2 Conceded 0
+0 GD +1
1.00 PPG 3.00
0% Win % 100%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Moreirense FC are 8th (1 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Moreirense FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.52 Moreirense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC22% Draw32% FC Arouca46%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Moreirense FC or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Arouca
78%
Moreirense FC or FC Arouca
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC10% Draw57% FC Arouca33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
20.1%
0 – 2
12.4%
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
2.9%
2 – 1
2.8%
2 – 0
2.1%
2 – 2
1.9%
0 – 4
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Moreirense FC

Handicap Moreirense FC covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 11% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 28% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 16% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
30%
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.