Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Arouca vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs Sport Lisboa e BenficaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
06 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
27 Feb FC Porto A 1–3 L
21 Feb CD Nacional H 3–0 W
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar FC Arouca A 2–1 W
08 Mar FC Porto H 2–2 D
02 Mar Gil Vicente FC A 2–1 W
25 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
21 Feb AVS H 3–0 W
17 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Arouca Sport Lisboa e Benfica
#8 Position #3
42 Points 80
34 Played 34
12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 23 / 11 / 0
47 Scored 74
64 Conceded 25
-17 GD +49
1.24 PPG 2.35
35% Win % 68%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
41% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season

FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 3rd (80 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
0-15
6/
16-30
4/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.61 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca18% Draw21% Sport Lisboa e Benfica61%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
39%
Draw or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
82%
FC Arouca or Sport Lisboa e Benfica
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca13% Draw36% Sport Lisboa e Benfica51%
Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
7.7%
0 – 3
7.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 4
4.6%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 8% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 32% 68%
+1 32% 21% 48%
+1.5 52% 48%
+2 52% 20% 28%
+2.5 72% 28%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
8%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.