Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Porto vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Fri 27 Feb 2026 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Iancu Vasilica

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb FC Arouca H 3–1 W
22 Feb Rio Ave FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb CD Nacional A 1–0 W
09 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
02 Feb Casa Pia AC A 1–2 L
29 Jan Rangers FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb FC Porto A 1–3 L
21 Feb CD Nacional H 3–0 W
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Porto FC Arouca
#1 Position #5
21 Points 11
7 Played 7
7 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
18 Scored 10
3 Conceded 7
+15 GD +3
3.00 PPG 1.57
100% Win % 43%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

FC Porto are 1st (21 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Porto
Gabriel Veiga 4 G 3 A
Andre Silva 3 G 2 A
Borja Sainz 3 G
William da Silva 2 G 2 A
Nehuen Perez 1 G
FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.36 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: FC Porto to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto69% Draw19% FC Arouca12%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
88%
Draw or FC Arouca
31%
FC Porto or FC Arouca
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto52% Draw39% FC Arouca9%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12%
1 – 0
9.9%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.8%
4 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 21% 51%
-1.5 49% — 51%
-1 49% 22% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
46% ✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.