Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Porto vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Fri 27 Feb 2026 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs FC AroucaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Iancu Vasilica
7 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb FC Arouca H 3–1 W
22 Feb Rio Ave FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb CD Nacional A 1–0 W
09 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
02 Feb Casa Pia AC A 1–2 L
29 Jan Rangers FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb FC Porto A 1–3 L
21 Feb CD Nacional H 3–0 W
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Porto FC Arouca
#1 Position #8
88 Points 42
34 Played 34
28 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
66 Scored 47
18 Conceded 64
+48 GD -17
2.59 PPG 1.24
82% Win % 35%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

FC Porto are 1st (88 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.85 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: FC Porto to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto73% Draw16% FC Arouca11%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
89%
Draw or FC Arouca
27%
FC Porto or FC Arouca
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto58% Draw33% FC Arouca9%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
3 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.2%
4 – 0
6.8%
1 – 1
6.6%
4 – 1
5.6%
5 – 0
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
5 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 37% 63%
-2 37% 21% 42%
-1.5 58% 42%
-1 58% 20% 22%
-0.5 78% 22%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
44%
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.