Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Deportivo AlavesLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Garcia Verdura

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Deportivo Alaves H 1–0 W
19 Oct Levante UD A 3–0 W
05 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–0 W
28 Sep Sevilla FC H 0–1 L
24 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 2–3 L
21 Sep RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–1 L
20 Oct Valencia CF H 0–0 D
05 Oct Elche CF H 3–1 W
27 Sep RCD Mallorca A 0–1 L
24 Sep Getafe CF A 1–1 D
20 Sep Sevilla FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Deportivo Alaves
#8 Position #14
50 Points 43
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 17
41 Scored 44
44 Conceded 56
-3 GD -12
1.32 PPG 1.13
32% Win % 29%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Deportivo Alaves are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

Deportivo Alaves Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Deportivo Alaves xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid52% Draw30% Deportivo Alaves18%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.83
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
82%
Draw or Deportivo Alaves
48%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Deportivo Alaves
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid31% Draw56% Deportivo Alaves13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Deportivo Alaves covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
53%
Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.