Thursday , 2 July 2026

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

3 4
2 – 4 pen
Full Time
Wed 12 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Civitas Metropolitano 69,304 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Gallagher 1' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Assistant 2
15 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Real Madrid CF H 3–4 L
09 Mar Getafe CF A 1–2 L
04 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar Athletic Club H 1–0 W
22 Feb Valencia CF A 3–0 W
15 Feb RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–1 W
01 Mar Real Betis Balompie A 1–2 L
23 Feb Girona FC H 2–0 W
19 Feb Manchester City FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Club Atletico de Madrid Real Madrid CF
#14 Position #9
13 Points 15
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
17 Scored 21
15 Conceded 12
+2 GD +9
1.63 PPG 1.88
50% Win % 63%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
Club Atletico de Madrid this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Club Atletico de Madrid are 14th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atletico de Madrid
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Club Atletico de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atletico de Madrid32% Draw22% Real Madrid CF46%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Club Atletico de Madrid or Draw
54%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
68%
Club Atletico de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Club Atletico de Madrid27% Draw35% Real Madrid CF38%
Actual: Club Atletico de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Club Atletico de Madrid

Handicap Club Atletico de Madrid covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 15% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 18% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 14% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet
9%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.