Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

3 – 4
2 – 4 pen
Full Time
Wed 12 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Civitas Metropolitano 69,304 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Gallagher 1' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Assistant 2
9 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Real Madrid CF H 3–4 L
09 Mar Getafe CF A 1–2 L
04 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar Athletic Club H 1–0 W
22 Feb Valencia CF A 3–0 W
15 Feb RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Club Atlético de Madrid Real Madrid CF
#14 Position #9
13 Points 15
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
17 Scored 21
15 Conceded 12
+2 GD +9
1.63 PPG 1.88
50% Win % 63%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Club Atlético de Madrid are 14th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
Marcos Llorente 1 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Club Atletico de Madrid welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.
  • 1' GOAL! Conor Gallagher fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 6' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 11' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Club Atletico de Madrid winning 100% of all matches.
  • 16' The home supporters are growing impatient. Club Atletico de Madrid must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 21' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 553 games and scored 793 goals.
  • 31' Club Atletico de Madrid are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' It’s gonna be a card for Aurelien Tchouameni.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Clement Lenglet suffering a number of foals already.
  • 49' Club Atletico de Madrid are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 54' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Vinicius Junior on 59.
  • 64' Antoine Griezmann has been relatively quiet despite scoring 144 goals in his last 531 appearances.
  • 65' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eduardo Camavinga is hanging Aurelien Tchouameni on the field on 65 minute.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Giuliano Simeone is booked for Club Atletico de Madrid — card on 66.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Clement Lenglet on 68 minutes earns him a card. Club Atletico de Madrid will be frustrated.
  • 73' A quiet spell here at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano. Club Atletico de Madrid seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 79' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Rodrygo has done his job and it is now time for Brahim Diaz to step up.
  • 83' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Ferland Mendy exits the field as Fran Garcia enters on 83.
  • 85' The whistle greets Conor Gallagher as he departs to be replaced by Samuel Lino.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Antoine Griezmann as he leaves the pitch. Alexander Sorloth steps in for Club Atletico de Madrid.
  • 90' Club Atletico de Madrid ring the changes. Rodrigo de Paul has done his job and it is now time for Nahuel Molina to step up.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Real Madrid CF players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Club Atletico de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.55 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atletico de Madrid32% Draw22% Real Madrid CF46%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Club Atletico de Madrid or Draw
54%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
68%
Club Atletico de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Club Atletico de Madrid27% Draw35% Real Madrid CF38%
Actual: Club Atletico de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Club Atletico de Madrid

Handicap Club Atletico de Madrid covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 15% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 18% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 14% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.