Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2024-25 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Istvan Kovacs
- Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
- Assistant 2 Ferencz Tunyogi (Romania)
7 games this season
🟨 6.3/game
⚽ 22.4 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | CA Osasuna | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Manchester City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Feb | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jan | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | Newcastle United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Arsenal FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 29 Jan | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Manchester City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #8 |
| 15 | Points | 16 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 2 |
| 21 | Scored | 15 |
| 12 | Conceded | 9 |
| +9 | GD | +6 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 63% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
85%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Manchester City FC
| Erling Haaland | 5 G | |
| Phil Foden | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Real Madrid CF and Manchester City FC has kicked off!
- 4' Kylian Mbappe doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 8' Manchester City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathan Ake is hanging John Stones on the field on 8 minute.
- 13' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 18' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
- 28' The referee has no hesitation. Ilkay Gundogan is booked for Manchester City FC — card on 28.
- 33' Kylian Mbappe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 28 goals this season for the .
- 38' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Jude Bellingham will be fuming at that decision.
- 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 47' That looks like a foul for a card for Nico Gonzalez.
- 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pep Guardiola will be considering his options from the bench.
- 57' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 61' A stunning finish from Kylian Mbappe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 66' Bernardo Silva, a Portugal , has 50 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 71' Aurelien Tchouameni needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 77' James McAtee is ready to make an impact after coming on for Phil Foden at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Dani Ceballos is withdrawn and Eduardo Camavinga gets his opportunity.
- 83' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Aurelien Tchouameni has done his job and it is now time for Luka Modric to step up.
- 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Federico Valverde has done his job and it is now time for David Alaba to step up.
- Another three points for Real Madrid CF.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 78'
- 23
- 14
- 19
-
8
Federico Valverde ↓ David Alaba 90'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Endrick 90'
- 1
- 11
- 5
- 35
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 78'
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 90'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 83'
- 17
- 18
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 78'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 90'
- 34
- 20
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Manchester City FC Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
-
19
Ilkay Gundogan ↓ Mateo Kovacic 77'
- 31
- 20
-
5
John Stones ↓ Nathan Ake 8'
-
47
Phil Foden ↓ James McAtee 77'
- 3
- 24
- 7
- 26
- 14
- 45
Bench
-
6
Nathan Ake ↑ 8'
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 77'
- 17
- 33
- 10
- 18
- 27
- 9
- 11
-
87
James McAtee ↑ 77'
- 82
Coach
Pep Guardiola
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin De Bruyne | 5 |
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Bernardo Silva | 4 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 2 |
| Phil Foden | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-02-19
Real Madrid CF
3–1
Manchester City FC
W
2025-02-15
CA Osasuna
1–1
Real Madrid CF
D
2025-02-11
Manchester City FC
2–3
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-02-08
Real Madrid CF
1–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
D
2025-02-01
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
1–0
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-01-29
Stade Brestois 29
0–3
Real Madrid CF
W
Manchester City FC Form
2025-02-19
Real Madrid CF
3–1
Manchester City FC
L
2025-02-15
Manchester City FC
4–0
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-02-11
Manchester City FC
2–3
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-02-08
Leyton Orient FC
1–2
Manchester City FC
W
2025-02-02
Arsenal FC
5–1
Manchester City FC
L
2025-01-29
Manchester City FC
3–1
Club Brugge KV
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester City FC
45%
Real Madrid CF or Manchester City FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Manchester City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

