Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2024-25 PLAYOFFS

Wed 19 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 77,023 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe 4' 1–0
Kylian Mbappe 33' 2–0
Kylian Mbappe 61' 3–0
3–1 90+2' Nico Gonzalez

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FCChampions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
  • Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
  • Assistant 2 Ferencz Tunyogi (Romania)
16 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 11.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Manchester City FC H 3–1 W
15 Feb CA Osasuna A 1–1 D
11 Feb Manchester City FC A 3–2 W
08 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–1 D
01 Feb RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 0–1 L
29 Jan Stade Brestois 29 A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–3 L
15 Feb Newcastle United FC H 4–0 W
11 Feb Real Madrid CF H 2–3 L
08 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–1 W
02 Feb Arsenal FC A 1–5 L
29 Jan Club Brugge KV H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Manchester City FC
#9 Position #8
15 Points 16
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 2
21 Scored 15
12 Conceded 9
+9 GD +6
1.88 PPG 2.00
63% Win % 63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Real Madrid CF get us underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
  • 4' Kylian Mbappe does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
  • 8' Nathan Ake has so much to prove this time. He replaces John Stones on 8 minute.
  • 13' Thibaut Courtois, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 18' Germany international Ilkay Gundogan has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 28' The referee calls foul for Ilkay Gundogan. He receives a card.
  • 33' The France Kylian Mbappe breaks the deadlock on 33 minutes. 2-0!
  • 38' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 47' It’s gonna be a card for Nico Gonzalez.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Manchester City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Kylian Mbappe does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
  • 66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 71' Raul is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Manchester City FC tonight.
  • 76' Real Madrid CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for James McAtee. He replaces Phil Foden on 77 minute.
  • 78' Real Madrid CF make a change. Dani Ceballos trudges off to be replaced by Eduardo Camavinga on 78 minutes.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Aurelien Tchouameni is replaced by Luka Modric on 83 minute.
  • 88' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Federico Valverde is replaced by David Alaba.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF55% Draw21% Manchester City FC24%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester City FC
45%
Real Madrid CF or Manchester City FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF40% Draw37% Manchester City FC23%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 15% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 19% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 14% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.