Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2024-25 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Istvan Kovacs
- Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
- Assistant 2 Ferencz Tunyogi (Romania)
6 games this season
🟨 7.0/game
⚽ 24.5 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | CA Osasuna | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Manchester City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Feb | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jan | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | Newcastle United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Arsenal FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 29 Jan | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Manchester City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #8 |
| 15 | Points | 16 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 2 |
| 21 | Scored | 15 |
| 12 | Conceded | 9 |
| +9 | GD | +6 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 63% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
85%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 G |
| Federico Valverde | 1 G |
Manchester City FC
| Erling Haaland | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Real Madrid CF and Manchester City FC.
- 4' What composure from Kylian Mbappe! The France international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 8' Nathan Ake has so much to prove this time. He replaces John Stones on 8 minute.
- 13' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Phil Foden suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' Ilkay Gundogan is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
- 33' Kylian Mbappe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 15 goals this season for the .
- 38' Jude Bellingham picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 43' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Endrick has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 47' That is a card for Manchester City FC. Nico Gonzalez will be fuming at that decision.
- 52' James McAtee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
- 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' A stunning finish from Kylian Mbappe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 66' Aurelien Tchouameni has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 71' Manchester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 76' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Manchester City FC's compact 4-1-2-1-2.
- 77' James McAtee is replacing Phil Foden for the Manchester City FC side.
- 78' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Dani Ceballos is withdrawn and Eduardo Camavinga gets his opportunity.
- 83' Luka Modric is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aurelien Tchouameni at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' Manchester City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 90' The whistle greets Federico Valverde as he departs to be replaced by David Alaba.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Manchester City FC.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 78'
- 23
- 14
- 19
-
8
Federico Valverde ↓ David Alaba 90'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Endrick 90'
- 1
- 11
- 5
- 35
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 78'
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 90'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 83'
- 17
- 18
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 78'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 90'
- 34
- 20
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Manchester City FC Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
-
19
Ilkay Gundogan ↓ Mateo Kovacic 77'
- 31
- 20
-
5
John Stones ↓ Nathan Ake 8'
-
47
Phil Foden ↓ James McAtee 77'
- 3
- 24
- 7
- 26
- 14
- 45
Bench
-
6
Nathan Ake ↑ 8'
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 77'
- 17
- 33
- 10
- 18
- 27
- 9
- 11
-
87
James McAtee ↑ 77'
- 82
Coach
Pep Guardiola
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin De Bruyne | 5 |
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Bernardo Silva | 4 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 2 |
| Phil Foden | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-02-19
Real Madrid CF
3–1
Manchester City FC
W
2025-02-15
CA Osasuna
1–1
Real Madrid CF
D
2025-02-11
Manchester City FC
2–3
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-02-08
Real Madrid CF
1–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
D
2025-02-01
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
1–0
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-01-29
Stade Brestois 29
0–3
Real Madrid CF
W
Manchester City FC Form
2025-02-19
Real Madrid CF
3–1
Manchester City FC
L
2025-02-15
Manchester City FC
4–0
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-02-11
Manchester City FC
2–3
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-02-08
Leyton Orient FC
1–2
Manchester City FC
W
2025-02-02
Arsenal FC
5–1
Manchester City FC
L
2025-01-29
Manchester City FC
3–1
Club Brugge KV
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester City FC
45%
Real Madrid CF or Manchester City FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Manchester City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.