Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2024-25 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Istvan Kovacs
- Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
- Assistant 2 Ferencz Tunyogi (Romania)
16 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | CA Osasuna | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Manchester City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Feb | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jan | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | Newcastle United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Arsenal FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 29 Jan | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Manchester City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #8 |
| 15 | Points | 16 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 2 |
| 21 | Scored | 15 |
| 12 | Conceded | 9 |
| +9 | GD | +6 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 63% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
85%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
30%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Real Madrid CF get us underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- 4' Kylian Mbappe does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
- 8' Nathan Ake has so much to prove this time. He replaces John Stones on 8 minute.
- 13' Thibaut Courtois, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 18' Germany international Ilkay Gundogan has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' The referee calls foul for Ilkay Gundogan. He receives a card.
- 33' The France Kylian Mbappe breaks the deadlock on 33 minutes. 2-0!
- 38' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
- 47' It’s gonna be a card for Nico Gonzalez.
- 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Manchester City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' Kylian Mbappe does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
- 66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 71' Raul is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Manchester City FC tonight.
- 76' Real Madrid CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for James McAtee. He replaces Phil Foden on 77 minute.
- 78' Real Madrid CF make a change. Dani Ceballos trudges off to be replaced by Eduardo Camavinga on 78 minutes.
- 83' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Aurelien Tchouameni is replaced by Luka Modric on 83 minute.
- 88' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 90' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Federico Valverde is replaced by David Alaba.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 78'
- 23
- 14
- 19
-
8
Federico Valverde ↓ David Alaba 90'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Endrick 90'
- 1
- 11
- 5
- 35
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 78'
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 90'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 83'
- 17
- 18
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 78'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 90'
- 34
- 20
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Manchester City FC Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
-
19
Ilkay Gundogan ↓ Mateo Kovacic 77'
- 31
- 20
-
5
John Stones ↓ Nathan Ake 8'
-
47
Phil Foden ↓ James McAtee 77'
- 3
- 24
- 7
- 26
- 14
- 45
Bench
-
6
Nathan Ake ↑ 8'
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 77'
- 17
- 33
- 10
- 18
- 27
- 9
- 11
-
87
James McAtee ↑ 77'
- 82
Coach
Pep Guardiola
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 5 |
| Bernardo Silva | 4 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 2 |
| Phil Foden | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-02-19
Real Madrid CF
3–1
Manchester City FC
W
2025-02-15
CA Osasuna
1–1
Real Madrid CF
D
2025-02-11
Manchester City FC
2–3
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-02-08
Real Madrid CF
1–1
Club Atletico de Madrid
D
2025-02-01
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
1–0
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-01-29
Stade Brestois 29
0–3
Real Madrid CF
W
Manchester City FC Form
2025-02-19
Real Madrid CF
3–1
Manchester City FC
L
2025-02-15
Manchester City FC
4–0
Newcastle United FC
W
2025-02-11
Manchester City FC
2–3
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-02-08
Leyton Orient FC
1–2
Manchester City FC
W
2025-02-02
Arsenal FC
5–1
Manchester City FC
L
2025-01-29
Manchester City FC
3–1
Club Brugge KV
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester City FC
45%
Real Madrid CF or Manchester City FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Manchester City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

