Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2024-25 PLAYOFFS

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UEFA Champions League · 2024-25

Real Madrid CF

3 – 1

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Wed 19 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 77,023 HT 45' · FT 45'

Kylian Mbappe 4' 1–0

Kylian Mbappe 33' 2–0

Kylian Mbappe 61' 3–0

3–1 90+2' Nico Gonzalez

Y 28' Ilkay Gundogan

Jude Bellingham 38' Y

Y 47' Nico Gonzalez

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Manchester City FC — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Istvan Kovacs
Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
Assistant 2 Ferencz Tunyogi (Romania)

15 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atlético de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabağ Ağdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodo/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC Kobenhavn	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 13 games · Avg 4.3 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC 2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-04-17 Manchester City FC 4–5 Real Madrid CF 2024-04-09 Real Madrid CF 3–3 Manchester City FC 2023-05-17 Manchester City FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Feb	Manchester City FC	H	3–1	W
15 Feb	CA Osasuna	A	1–1	D
11 Feb	Manchester City FC	A	3–2	W
08 Feb	Club Atlético de Madrid	H	1–1	D
01 Feb	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	A	0–1	L
29 Jan	Stade Brestois 29	A	3–0	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Feb	Real Madrid CF	A	1–3	L
15 Feb	Newcastle United FC	H	4–0	W
11 Feb	Real Madrid CF	H	2–3	L
08 Feb	Leyton Orient FC	A	2–1	W
02 Feb	Arsenal FC	A	1–5	L
29 Jan	Club Brugge KV	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Manchester City FC
#9	Position	#8
15	Points	16
8	Played	8
5 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	5 / 1 / 2
21	Scored	15
12	Conceded	9
+9	GD	+6
1.88	PPG	2.00
63%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	15 G	1 A
Vinicius Junior	5 G	6 A

Manchester City FC

Erling Haaland

8 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Real Madrid CF and Manchester City FC get this one started.
4' Brilliant from the ! Kylian Mbappe makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 4.
8' Fresh legs for Manchester City FC! Nathan Ake comes on to replace John Stones.
13' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Manchester City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
18' With 0 assists to his name this season, Thibaut Courtois is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Manchester City FC.
23' Abdukodir Khusanov has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
28' The referee calls foul for Ilkay Gundogan. He receives a card.
33' What a moment for Kylian Mbappe! That strike on 33 puts his side firmly in control.
38' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Jude Bellingham will be fuming at that decision.
43' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Savio has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
47' Nico Gonzalez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 47.
52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Manchester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
57' It’s high time Pep Guardiola made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
61' Against the run of play, Kylian Mbappe has scored! This game has turned on its head.
66' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
71' Real Madrid CF has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
76' Rodrygo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
77' Phil Foden makes way for James McAtee at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Manchester City FC.
78' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eduardo Camavinga is hanging Dani Ceballos on the field on 78 minute.
83' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Luka Modric on, Aurelien Tchouameni off on 83 minutes.
88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
90' Real Madrid CF make a change. Federico Valverde trudges off to be replaced by David Alaba on 90 minutes.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

22
Antonio Rudiger
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 78'
23
Ferland Mendy
14
Aurelien Tchouameni ↓ Luka Modric 83'
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 78'
8
Federico Valverde ↓ David Alaba 90'
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Endrick 90'
1
Thibaut Courtois
11
Rodrygo
5
Jude Bellingham
35
Raul

Bench

21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 78'
4
David Alaba ↑ 90'
13
Andriy Lunin
10
Luka Modric ↑ 83'
17
Lucas Vazquez
18
Jesus Vallejo
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 78'
15
Arda Guler
16
Endrick ↑ 90'
34
Sergio Mestre
20
Fran Garcia

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-1-2-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pep Guardiola

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Kevin De Bruyne	5
Bernardo Silva	4
Kylian Mbappe	4
Rodrygo	3
Gabriel Jesus	3
Erling Haaland	2
Phil Foden	2

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-15 CA Osasuna 1–1 Real Madrid CF D 2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-02-08 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Club Atlético de Madrid D 2025-02-01 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–0 Real Madrid CF L 2025-01-29 Stade Brestois 29 0–3 Real Madrid CF W

Manchester City FC Form

2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC L 2025-02-15 Manchester City FC 4–0 Newcastle United FC W 2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF L 2025-02-08 Leyton Orient FC 1–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-02 Arsenal FC 5–1 Manchester City FC L 2025-01-29 Manchester City FC 3–1 Club Brugge KV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.39 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF55% Draw21% Manchester City FC24%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

76%

Draw or Manchester City FC

45%

Real Madrid CF or Manchester City FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF40% Draw37% Manchester City FC23%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 2

5.3%

2 – 0

4.8%

2 – 3

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

4 – 1

3.7%

1 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	15%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	19%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.