Thursday , 2 July 2026

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Civitas Metropolitano 63,810 HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Alvarez 66' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Athletic ClubLa Liga at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Athletic Club H 1–0 W
22 Feb Valencia CF A 3–0 W
15 Feb RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D
08 Feb Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
01 Feb RCD Mallorca H 2–0 W
29 Jan FC Red Bull Salzburg A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid A 0–1 L
23 Feb Real Valladolid CF H 7–1 W
16 Feb RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 1–1 D
08 Feb Girona FC H 3–0 W
02 Feb Real Betis Balompie A 2–2 D
30 Jan FC Viktoria Plzen H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Club Atletico de Madrid Athletic Club
#4 Position #12
69 Points 45
38 Played 38
21 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 19
62 Scored 43
44 Conceded 58
+18 GD -15
1.82 PPG 1.18
55% Win % 34%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Club Atletico de Madrid are 4th (69 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.7 Club Atletico de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Club Atletico de Madrid to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atletico de Madrid59% Draw25% Athletic Club16%
Actual: Club Atletico de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Club Atletico de Madrid or Draw
84%
Draw or Athletic Club
41%
Club Atletico de Madrid or Athletic Club
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Club Atletico de Madrid40% Draw47% Athletic Club13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Club Atletico de Madrid

Handicap Club Atletico de Madrid covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 25% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet
47%
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.