Real Madrid CF vs Club Atletico de Madrid, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Club Atletico de Madrid — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- Club Atletico de Madrid 8 games · 13 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Clement Turpin
- Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
- Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season
🟨 1.9/game
⚽ 7.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Real Betis Balompie | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Girona FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | CA Osasuna | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Manchester City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Athletic Club | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Valencia CF | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Feb | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | RCD Mallorca | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Club Atletico de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #14 |
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 |
| 21 | Scored | 17 |
| 12 | Conceded | 15 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
6%
Clean Sheets
Club Atletico de Madrid this season
Club Atletico de Madrid this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Club Atletico de Madrid are 14th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Club Atletico de Madrid
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 4' The Brazil Rodrygo breaks the deadlock on 4 minutes. 1-0!
- 9' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcos Llorente made 545 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 14' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 19' Club Atletico de Madrid is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 24' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 29' Antoine Griezmann is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
- 32' The Argentina Julian Alvarez breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 1-1!
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Club Atletico de Madrid's 4-4-2 shape.
- 47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 52' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
- 55' The Morocco Brahim Diaz breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 2-1!
- 56' A moment of madness from Brahim Diaz on 56 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
- 61' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 62' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Luka Modric comes on to replace Eduardo Camavinga.
- 64' Time for substitution for Club Atletico de Madrid. Giuliano Simeone is replaced by Nahuel Molina.
- 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 71' Robin Le Normand is ready to make an impact after coming on for Antoine Griezmann at the 71 minute mark.
- 75' The whistle greets Rodrigo de Paul as he departs to be replaced by Angel Correa.
- 80' Club Atletico de Madrid come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 83' Lucas Vazquez is replacing Federico Valverde for the Real Madrid CF side.
- 88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 89' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Endrick on, Brahim Diaz off on 89 minutes.
- Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats Club Atletico de Madrid
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Endrick 89'
- 9
- 23
- 14
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 11
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↓ Luka Modric 62'
- 35
Bench
- 4
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 62'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 83'
- 15
-
16
Endrick ↑ 89'
- 20
- 26
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Club Atletico de Madrid Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 7
- 13
- 15
- 14
-
5
Rodrigo de Paul ↓ Angel Correa 75'
- 19
- 22
- 8
-
12
Samuel Lino ↓ Conor Gallagher 64'
- 21
- 2
Bench
-
9
Alexander Sorloth ↑ 75'
- 20
-
10
Angel Correa ↑ 75'
- 11
- 1
- 23
-
16
Nahuel Molina ↑ 64'
-
24
Robin Le Normand ↑ 71'
-
4
Conor Gallagher ↑ 64'
- 17
- 31
Coach
Diego Simeone
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 3 |
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Julian Alvarez | 2 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Casemiro | 2 |
| Alvaro Morata | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Club Atletico de Madrid Form
2025-03-04
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Club Atletico de Madrid
L
2025-03-01
Club Atletico de Madrid
1–0
Athletic Club
W
2025-02-22
Valencia CF
0–3
Club Atletico de Madrid
W
2025-02-15
Club Atletico de Madrid
1–1
RC Celta de Vigo
D
2025-02-08
Real Madrid CF
1–1
Club Atletico de Madrid
D
2025-02-01
Club Atletico de Madrid
2–0
RCD Mallorca
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.46
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Club Atletico de Madrid xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
77%
Draw or Club Atletico de Madrid
45%
Real Madrid CF or Club Atletico de Madrid
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
4 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Club Atletico de Madrid covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 17% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.