Thursday , 2 July 2026

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Thu 24 Apr 2025 · 19:30 UTC Estadio Civitas Metropolitano 49,410 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Gallagher 45' 2–0
Julian Alvarez 77' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Israel Barcena Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Porras Rico (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–0 W
19 Apr UD Las Palmas A 0–1 L
14 Apr Real Valladolid CF H 4–2 W
06 Apr Sevilla FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 1–1 D
16 Mar FC Barcelona H 2–4 L

Season Stats

Club Atletico de Madrid Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#4 Position #8
69 Points 50
38 Played 38
21 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
62 Scored 41
44 Conceded 44
+18 GD -3
1.82 PPG 1.32
55% Win % 32%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Club Atletico de Madrid are 4th (69 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 Club Atletico de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Club Atletico de Madrid to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atletico de Madrid66% Draw20% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
Actual: Club Atletico de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Club Atletico de Madrid or Draw
86%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
34%
Club Atletico de Madrid or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Club Atletico de Madrid48% Draw39% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid13%
Actual: Club Atletico de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Club Atletico de Madrid

Handicap Club Atletico de Madrid covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 22% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet
40%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.