Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC San Mames Barria 47,584 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Pathe Ciss
Oihan Sancet pen 58' 1–1
Nico Williams 80' 2–1
Oihan Sancet 90+4' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at San Mames Barria.

Match Details

  • Referee Adrian Cordero Vega (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Antonio Cerezo Parfenof (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Judit Romano Garcia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–1 W
10 Apr Rangers FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Villarreal CF A 0–0 D
30 Mar CA Osasuna H 0–0 D
16 Mar Sevilla FC A 1–0 W
13 Mar AS Roma H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Athletic Club A 1–3 L
04 Apr RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 0–4 L
29 Mar Deportivo Alavés A 2–0 W
16 Mar Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–2 D
09 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#12 Position #10
8 Points 8
6 Played 7
2 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
7 Scored 11
6 Conceded 16
+1 GD -5
1.33 PPG 1.14
33% Win % 29%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Athletic Club
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Athletic Club to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club64% Draw22% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
85%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
36%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club44% Draw42% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.8%
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 19% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.