Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at San Mames Barria.
- Athletic Club 6 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adrian Cordero Vega (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Antonio Cerezo Parfenof (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Judit Romano Garcia (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis Balompié | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid CF | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | CA Osasuna | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal CF | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Getafe CF | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | RC Celta de Vigo | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Villarreal CF | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | CA Osasuna | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | Sevilla FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Mar | AS Roma | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Athletic Club | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | H | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Mar | Deportivo Alavés | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Sevilla FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #10 |
| 8 | Points | 8 |
| 6 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 11 |
| 6 | Conceded | 16 |
| +1 | GD | -5 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 33% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
Athletic Club this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Athletic Club
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Athletic Club
| Roberto Navarro | 2 G |
| Aitor Paredes Casamichana | 1 G |
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Sergio Camello | 7 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Garcia | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Athletic Club and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid get this one started.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Athletic Club side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alvaro Djalo on 12.
- 17' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 27' Uruguay international Alfonso Espino has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 32' Athletic Club currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 36' The referee calls foul for Daniel Vivian. He receives a card.
- 37' Goal! Pathe Ciss scores his 11 goal in 243 matches.
- 42' The energy levels are beginning to show. Iñigo Pérez might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' Athletic Club ring the changes. Gorka Guruzeta has done his job and it is now time for Sannadi to step up.
- 50' A moment of madness from Pedro Diaz on 50 minutes earns him a card. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid will be frustrated.
- 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 57' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player sees a card in front of him.
- 58' GOAL! Oihan Sancet fires home to make it 1-1!
- 59' Fresh legs for Athletic Club! Inaki Williams comes on to replace Alvaro Djalo.
- 63' It is a substitution in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid team. Gerard Gumbau is replaced by Unai Lopez on 63 minute.
- 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
- 70' The crowd applauds Jorge de Frutos as he leaves the pitch. Adri Embarba steps in for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
- 73' A change in the Athletic Club ranks — Alex Berenguer exits the field as Nico Williams enters on 73.
- 75' Poor challenge from Unai Lopez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 80' The Spain Nico Williams breaks the deadlock on 80 minutes. 2-1!
- 84' Adama Boiro is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 85' Raul de Tomas gets the nod from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. He replaces Pathe Ciss and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Inaki Williams was booked on 87.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
Lineups
Athletic Club Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 1
- 3
-
12
Gorka Guruzeta ↓ Sannadi 46'
-
7
Alex Berenguer ↓ Nico Williams 73'
- 4
-
11
Alvaro Djalo ↓ Inaki Williams 59'
-
20
Unai Gomez ↓ Oihan Sancet 46'
- 24
- 23
- 32
Bench
- 6
-
16
Ruiz de Galarreta ↑ 59'
- 5
- 15
- 14
- 18
-
9
Inaki Williams ↑ 59'
-
8
Oihan Sancet ↑ 46'
-
10
Nico Williams ↑ 73'
- 13
-
21
Sannadi ↑ 46'
- 28
Coach
Ernesto Valverde
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
-
15
Gerard Gumbau ↓ Unai Lopez 63'
- 5
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↓ Oscar Valentin 63'
- 18
- 13
- 2
-
6
Pathe Ciss ↓ Raul de Tomas 85'
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↓ Adri Embarba 70'
-
22
Alfonso Espino ↓ Isi Palazon 85'
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
17
Unai Lopez ↑ 63'
- 12
-
21
Adri Embarba ↑ 70'
- 8
-
9
Raul de Tomas ↑ 85'
-
7
Isi Palazon ↑ 85'
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↑ 63'
- 1
- 11
- 27
Coach
Iñigo Pérez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oihan Sancet | 6 |
| Inaki Williams | 5 |
| Nico Williams | 5 |
| Radamel Falcao | 3 |
| Randy Ntekja | 1 |
| Pathe Ciss | 1 |
| Alvaro Garcia | 1 |
| Pathe Ciss | 1 |
Head to Head
Athletic Club Form
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2025-04-13
Athletic Club
3–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2025-04-04
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0–4
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
L
2025-03-29
Deportivo Alavés
0–2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-03-16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2–2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
D
2025-03-09
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2025-03-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–1
Sevilla FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03
Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for:
Athletic Club to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Athletic Club win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw
85%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
36%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.8%
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Athletic Club
| Handicap | Athletic Club covers | Push | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

