Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at San Mames Barria.
- Athletic Club 38 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adrian Cordero Vega (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Antonio Cerezo Parfenof (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Judit Romano Garcia (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Villarreal CF | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | CA Osasuna | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | Sevilla FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Mar | AS Roma | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Athletic Club | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | H | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Mar | Deportivo Alaves | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Sevilla FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 45 | Points | 50 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 13 / 6 / 19 | W / D / L | 12 / 14 / 12 |
| 43 | Scored | 41 |
| 58 | Conceded | 44 |
| -15 | GD | -3 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.32 |
| 34% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Athletic Club get us underway at San Mames Barria.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Athletic Club are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 12' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alvaro Djalo.
- 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 22' It looks like no one’s ball. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andoni Gorosabel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
- 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel Vivian.
- 37' Goal! Pathe Ciss scores his 11 goal in 238 matches.
- 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Rayo Vallecano de Madrid that had 229 games and scored 226 goals.
- 46' Athletic Club manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sannadi is hanging Gorka Guruzeta on the field on 46 minute.
- 50' Pedro Diaz was booked on 50.
- 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Athletic Club needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 57' The referee has no hesitation. Alfonso Espino is booked for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — card on 57.
- 58' Against the run of play, Oihan Sancet has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 59' Inaki Williams has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alvaro Djalo on 59 minute.
- 63' Another change for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid made on 63 minute. Gerard Gumbau leaves to be changed by Unai Lopez.
- 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Athletic Club and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 70' Adri Embarba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jorge de Frutos on 70 minute.
- 73' A change in the Athletic Club ranks — Alex Berenguer exits the field as Nico Williams enters on 73.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Unai Lopez on 75 minutes.
- 80' What a strike from Nico Williams! The score is 2-1.
- 84' The referee has no hesitation. Adama Boiro is booked for Athletic Club — card on 84.
- 85' Raul de Tomas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pathe Ciss at the 85 minute mark.
- 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Inaki Williams.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
Athletic Club Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 1
- 3
-
12
Gorka Guruzeta ↓ Sannadi 46'
-
7
Alex Berenguer ↓ Nico Williams 73'
- 4
-
11
Alvaro Djalo ↓ Inaki Williams 59'
-
20
Unai Gomez ↓ Oihan Sancet 46'
- 24
- 23
- 32
Bench
- 6
-
16
Ruiz de Galarreta ↑ 59'
- 5
- 15
- 14
- 18
-
9
Inaki Williams ↑ 59'
-
8
Oihan Sancet ↑ 46'
-
10
Nico Williams ↑ 73'
- 13
-
21
Sannadi ↑ 46'
- 28
Coach
Ernesto Valverde
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
-
15
Gerard Gumbau ↓ Unai Lopez 63'
- 5
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↓ Oscar Valentin 63'
- 18
- 13
- 2
-
6
Pathe Ciss ↓ Raul de Tomas 85'
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↓ Adri Embarba 70'
-
22
Alfonso Espino ↓ Isi Palazon 85'
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
17
Unai Lopez ↑ 63'
- 12
-
21
Adri Embarba ↑ 70'
- 8
-
9
Raul de Tomas ↑ 85'
-
7
Isi Palazon ↑ 85'
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↑ 63'
- 1
- 11
- 27
Coach
Iñigo Pérez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oihan Sancet | 6 |
| Nico Williams | 5 |
| Inaki Williams | 5 |
| Radamel Falcao | 3 |
| Raul de Tomas | 1 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 1 |
| Raul Garcia | 1 |
| Randy Ntekja | 1 |
Head to Head
Athletic Club Form
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2025-04-13
Athletic Club
3–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2025-04-04
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0–4
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
L
2025-03-29
Deportivo Alaves
0–2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-03-16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2–2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
D
2025-03-09
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2025-03-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–1
Sevilla FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58
Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Athletic Club win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw
80%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
45%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Athletic Club
| Handicap | Athletic Club covers | Push | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.