Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Valencia CF 12 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Alvaro Granel Peiro (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Adrian Diaz Gonzalez (Spain)
5 games this season
🟨 6.6/game
⚽ 18.8 goals/game
🟥 6 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Villarreal CF | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | RC Celta de Vigo | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | CA Osasuna | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Getafe CF | 12 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 12 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 12 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 12 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Valencia CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | Athletic Club | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | H | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Mar | Deportivo Alavés | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | Sevilla FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | RCD Mallorca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Girona FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Real Valladolid CF | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #19 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 11 | Played | 12 |
| 3 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 7 |
| 15 | Scored | 8 |
| 21 | Conceded | 20 |
| -6 | GD | -12 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 27% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
10%
Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season
Valencia CF this season
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 13th (12 pts). Valencia CF are 19th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
4/2
16-30
2/6
31-45
2/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
1/3
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Valencia CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Sergio Camello | 7 G | 2 A |
| Alvaro Garcia | 3 G | 2 A |
Valencia CF
| Umar Sadiq | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Rayo Vallecano de Madrid welcome Valencia CF for this crunch clash at Estadio de Vallecas.
- 5' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Valencia CF's 4-4-2 shape.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Valencia CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 28' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pathe Ciss on 28 minutes.
- 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Valencia CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 43' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 45' The Spain Cesar Tarrega breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 0-1!
- 49' Florian Lejeune was booked on 49.
- 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 55' Fran Perez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Rioja at the 55 minute mark.
- 60' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 65' Valencia CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 66' Another substitution for Valencia CF to replace Andre Almeida by Umar Sadiq on 66 minute.
- 71' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid make a change. Jorge de Frutos trudges off to be replaced by Adri Embarba on 71 minutes.
- 74' Fresh legs for Valencia CF! Pepelu comes on to replace Enzo Barrenechea.
- 75' GOAL! Umar Sadiq scores on 75.
- 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 82' Pep Chavarria has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
- 84' Sergi Guardiola has so much to prove this time. He replaces Randy Ntekja on 84 minute.
- 89' Valencia CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Umar Sadiq. He receives a card.
- It finishes all square. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Valencia CF share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
-
15
Gerard Gumbau ↓ Unai Lopez 71'
- 4
- 18
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↓ Isi Palazon 84'
- 13
- 2
- 6
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↓ Adri Embarba 71'
-
11
Randy Ntekja ↓ Sergi Guardiola 84'
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
17
Unai Lopez ↑ 71'
-
12
Sergi Guardiola ↑ 84'
- 5
-
21
Adri Embarba ↑ 71'
- 8
- 9
-
7
Isi Palazon ↑ 84'
- 1
- 22
- 26
- 30
Coach
Iñigo Pérez
Valencia CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
14
Gaya ↓ Jesus Vazquez Alcalde 66'
- 20
-
9
Hugo Duro ↓ Rafael Mir 55'
-
22
Luis Rioja ↓ Fran Perez 55'
- 25
-
10
Andre Almeida ↓ Umar Sadiq 66'
- 3
- 15
-
5
Enzo Barrenechea ↓ Pepelu 74'
- 8
- 16
Bench
- 19
- 7
- 4
- 1
-
11
Rafael Mir ↑ 55'
- 13
-
18
Pepelu ↑ 74'
-
12
Umar Sadiq ↑ 66'
- 6
-
21
Jesus Vazquez Alcalde ↑ 66'
-
23
Fran Perez ↑ 55'
- 24
Coach
Carlos Corberán
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Isi Palazon | 2 |
| Santiago Comesana | 2 |
| Santi Mina | 2 |
| Carlos Soler | 2 |
| Sergi Guardiola | 1 |
| Mouctar Diakhaby | 1 |
| Nico Gonzalez | 1 |
| Justin Kluivert | 1 |
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2025-04-19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–1
Valencia CF
D
2025-04-13
Athletic Club
3–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2025-04-04
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0–4
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
L
2025-03-29
Deportivo Alavés
0–2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-03-16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2–2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
D
2025-03-09
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Valencia CF xG
I would bet for:
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Valencia CF 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
69%
Draw or Valencia CF
60%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Valencia CF
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Handicap | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers | Push | Valencia CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

