CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

CA Mineiro

1 – 0

Full Time

Sao Paulo FC

Wed 18 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

CA Mineiro 26 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Sao Paulo FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Fernando de Salles Nascimento (Brazil)

6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	27	57
2	SE Palmeiras	27	56
3	CA Paranaense	27	46
4	Fluminense FC	27	45
5	EC Bahia	26	43
6	Cruzeiro EC	27	42
7	CA Mineiro	26	39
8	Coritiba FBC	27	38
9	RB Bragantino	26	36
10	Santos FC	26	35
11	Sao Paulo FC	26	33
12	EC Vitoria	27	33
13	SC Corinthians Paulista	27	32
14	Botafogo FR	26	32
15	Mirassol FC	27	29
16	SC Internacional	27	28
17	Gremio FBPA	26	28
18	CR Vasco da Gama	26	28
19	Clube do Remo	26	23
20	Chapecoense AF	26	17

Head-to-Head

CA Mineiro 21 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sao Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-18 CA Mineiro 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro 2025-04-06 CA Mineiro 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-11-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

CA Mineiro

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Sao Paulo FC	H	1–0	W
14 Mar	EC Vitoria	A	0–2	L
11 Mar	SC Internacional	H	1–0	W
26 Feb	Gremio FBPA	A	1–2	L
11 Feb	Clube do Remo	H	3–3	D
04 Feb	RB Bragantino	A	0–1	L

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	CA Mineiro	A	0–1	L
15 Mar	RB Bragantino	A	2–1	W
12 Mar	Chapecoense AF	H	2–0	W
25 Feb	Coritiba FBC	A	1–0	W
12 Feb	Gremio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

CA Mineiro		Sao Paulo FC
#7	Position	#11
39	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 6 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
35	Scored	31
31	Conceded	30
+4	GD	+1
1.50	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (39 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 11th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro

0-15

2/3

16-30

6/–

31-45

5/3

46-60

1/2

61-75

7/5

76+

5/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

4/3

46-60

–/9

61-75

5/2

76+

4/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro

Tomas Cuello	5 G	2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes	4 G	1 A

Sao Paulo FC

Luciano	8 G	1 A
Jonathan Calleri	7 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA Mineiro and Sao Paulo FC get this one started.
Full Time. CA Mineiro beats Sao Paulo FC

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Eduardo Vargas	4
Paulinho	4
Luciano	3
Jonathan Calleri	2
Hulk	2
Igor Gomes	2
Jair	2
Alan Franco	2

Head to Head

CA Mineiro Form

2026-03-18 CA Mineiro 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-03-14 EC Vitoria 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2026-03-11 CA Mineiro 1–0 SC Internacional W 2026-02-26 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2026-02-11 CA Mineiro 3–3 Clube do Remo D 2026-02-04 RB Bragantino 1–0 CA Mineiro L

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-03-18 CA Mineiro 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-03-15 RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-03-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Chapecoense AF W 2026-02-25 Coritiba FBC 0–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.24 CA Mineiro xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.98 Sao Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: CA Mineiro or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Mineiro42% Draw30% Sao Paulo FC28%

Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.22

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw

72%

Draw or Sao Paulo FC

58%

CA Mineiro or Sao Paulo FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CA Mineiro28% Draw52% Sao Paulo FC20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

13.2%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

6.3%

0 – 2

2 – 2

3 – 1

3.3%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.1%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap	CA Mineiro covers	Push	Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	22%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.