CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024

CA Mineiro

2 – 1

Full Time

Sao Paulo FC

Fri 12 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC ARENA MRV 28,772 HT 45' · FT 45'

Eduardo Vargas 13' 1–0

1–1 18' Lucas Moura

Paulinho 45+3' 2–1

Rodrigo Battaglia 9' Y

Hulk 44' Y

R 59' Alan Franco

Y 83' Luiz Gustavo

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	22	33
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	21	10

Head-to-Head

CA Mineiro 20 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sao Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2023-12-03 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2023-08-06 Sao Paulo FC 0–2 CA Mineiro 2022-11-02 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro 2022-07-10 CA Mineiro 0–0 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

CA Mineiro

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	Sao Paulo FC	H	2–1	W
07 Jul	Botafogo FR	A	0–3	L
04 Jul	CR Flamengo	H	2–4	L
30 Jun	AC Goianiense	H	1–1	D
27 Jun	SC Internacional	A	2–1	W
23 Jun	Fortaleza EC	H	1–1	D

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	CA Mineiro	A	1–2	L
06 Jul	RB Bragantino	H	2–0	W
04 Jul	CA Paranaense	A	2–1	W
30 Jun	EC Bahia	H	3–1	W
27 Jun	Criciúma EC	H	2–1	W
23 Jun	CR Vasco da Gama	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro		Sao Paulo FC
#11	Position	#12
29	Points	27
21	Played	22
8 / 5 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 6 / 9
27	Scored	27
27	Conceded	26
+0	GD	+1
1.38	PPG	1.23
38%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro

0-15

2/3

16-30

4/–

31-45

5/3

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

–/8

61-75

3/2

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro

Victor Hugo Gomes

4 G

1 A

Sao Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	7 G	1 A
Luciano	6 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Mineiro and Sao Paulo FC has kicked off!
5' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
9' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rodrigo Battaglia.
13' GOAL! Eduardo Vargas fires home to make it 1-0!
18' Goal! Lucas Moura scores his 49 goal in 385 matches.
23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
33' The 29-year-old Igor Vinicius has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
38' Erick has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 175 appearances.
43' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
44' Hulk catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
48' GOAL! Paulinho scores on 45.
53' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
58' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Luiz Gustavo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
59' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 59.
64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gustavo Scarpa, as he is very good at scoring at ARENA MRV with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
66' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Rodrigo Nestor comes on to replace Luciano.
71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
73' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cadu is hanging Eduardo Vargas on the field on 73 minute.
78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
80' The supporters are chanting for Rafinha. He replaces Igor Vinicius on 80 minute.
83' A moment of madness from Luiz Gustavo on 83 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
86' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Jonathan Calleri is replaced by Andre Silva.
90' Paulinho makes way for Brahian Palacios at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
CA Mineiro celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gabriel Milito

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

33
Erick ↑ 86'
93
Jandrei
13
Rafinha ↑ 80'
35
Jose Sabino
17
Andre Silva ↑ 86'
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 66'
36
Patryck
15
Michel Araujo
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 66'
39
William da Silva
4
Diego Costa
50
Young

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Eduardo Vargas	4
Paulinho	4
Jonathan Calleri	2
Hulk	2
Igor Gomes	2
Jair	2
Alan Franco	2
Luciano	2

Head to Head

CA Mineiro Form

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-07-07 Botafogo FR 3–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-07-04 CA Mineiro 2–4 CR Flamengo L 2024-06-30 CA Mineiro 1–1 AC Goianiense D 2024-06-27 SC Internacional 1–2 CA Mineiro W 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC D

Sao Paulo FC Form

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W 2024-07-04 CA Paranaense 1–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-06-30 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia W 2024-06-27 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Criciúma EC W 2024-06-23 CR Vasco da Gama 4–1 Sao Paulo FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.59 CA Mineiro xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 Sao Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Mineiro47% Draw26% Sao Paulo FC27%

Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.84

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw

73%

Draw or Sao Paulo FC

53%

CA Mineiro or Sao Paulo FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

CA Mineiro32% Draw45% Sao Paulo FC23%

Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.4%

0 – 0

7.7%

2 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

0 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

4.7%

0 – 2

4.5%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap	CA Mineiro covers	Push	Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	21%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.