Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
CA Mineiro
2 – 1
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Fri 12 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC ARENA MRV 28,772 HT 45' · FT 45'
Eduardo Vargas 13' 1–0
1–1 18' Lucas Moura
Paulinho 45+3' 2–1
Rodrigo Battaglia 9' Y
Hulk 44' Y
R 59' Alan Franco
Y 83' Luiz Gustavo

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

9
8
3
CA Mineiro 20 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2023-12-03 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2023-08-06 Sao Paulo FC 0–2 CA Mineiro 2022-11-02 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro 2022-07-10 CA Mineiro 0–0 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
07 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–3 L
04 Jul CR Flamengo H 2–4 L
30 Jun AC Goianiense H 1–1 D
27 Jun SC Internacional A 2–1 W
23 Jun Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
04 Jul CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
30 Jun EC Bahia H 3–1 W
27 Jun Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
23 Jun CR Vasco da Gama A 1–4 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Sao Paulo FC
#9 Position #8
24 Points 25
18 Played 18
7 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
22 Scored 23
23 Conceded 20
-1 GD +3
1.33 PPG 1.39
39% Win % 39%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at ARENA MRV. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 9' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Rodrigo Battaglia will be fuming at that decision.
  • 13' The deadlock is broken! Eduardo Vargas gets on the scoresheet on 13 minutes.
  • 18' The deadlock is broken! Lucas Moura gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
  • 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Mineiro and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hulk, as he is very good at scoring at ARENA MRV with 13 goals in the last 10 games.
  • 44' Hulk catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
  • 48' Brilliant from the ! Paulinho makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 53' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 58' CA Mineiro are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 59' Controversy at the stadium! Alan Franco argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 64' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Luciano as he leaves the pitch. Rodrigo Nestor steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 71' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 73' Cadu is replacing Eduardo Vargas for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 78' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 80' The whistle greets Igor Vinicius as he departs to be replaced by Rafinha.
  • 83' Luiz Gustavo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 86' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Jonathan Calleri exits the field as Andre Silva enters on 86.
  • 90' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Paulinho has done his job and it is now time for Brahian Palacios to step up.
  • With this win, CA Mineiro is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gabriel Milito

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Paulinho 4
Eduardo Vargas 4
Jair 2
Alan Franco 2
Luciano 2
Jonathan Calleri 2
Hulk 2
Igor Gomes 2

Head to Head

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2023-12-03 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2023-08-06 Sao Paulo FC 0–2 CA Mineiro 2022-11-02 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro 2022-07-10 CA Mineiro 0–0 Sao Paulo FC

CA Mineiro Form

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-07-07 Botafogo FR 3–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-07-04 CA Mineiro 2–4 CR Flamengo L 2024-06-30 CA Mineiro 1–1 AC Goianiense D 2024-06-27 SC Internacional 1–2 CA Mineiro W 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC D

Sao Paulo FC Form

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W 2024-07-04 CA Paranaense 1–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-06-30 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia W 2024-06-27 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Criciúma EC W 2024-06-23 CR Vasco da Gama 4–1 Sao Paulo FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro46% Draw26% Sao Paulo FC28%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
72%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
54%
CA Mineiro or Sao Paulo FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro30% Draw46% Sao Paulo FC24%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.