Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Chapecoense AF, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 12 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Chapecoense AFSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Casagrande (Brazil)
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
25 Feb Coritiba FBC A 1–0 W
12 Feb Grêmio FBPA H 2–0 W
04 Feb Santos FC A 1–1 D
29 Jan CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
07 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
11 Feb Coritiba FBC H 3–3 D
05 Feb CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
28 Jan Santos FC H 4–2 W
10 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
07 Dec SC Recife H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Chapecoense AF
#8 Position #20
25 Points 9
18 Played 17
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 1 / 6 / 10
23 Scored 17
20 Conceded 33
+3 GD -16
1.39 PPG 0.53
39% Win % 6%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
12% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Chapecoense AF are 20th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chapecoense AF
0-15
/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Chapecoense AF
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Chapecoense AF.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Chapecoense AF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.14 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Chapecoense AF xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC70% Draw20% Chapecoense AF10%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Chapecoense AF
30%
Sao Paulo FC or Chapecoense AF
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC51% Draw41% Chapecoense AF8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
13.9%
3 – 0
10.4%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
4 – 0
5.6%
4 – 1
3.3%
0 – 1
3.1%
5 – 0
2.4%
2 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Chapecoense AF covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 22% 52%
-1.5 48% 52%
-1 48% 24% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.