CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #12 |
| 29 | Points | 27 |
| 21 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 5 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 27 | Scored | 27 |
| 27 | Conceded | 26 |
| +0 | GD | +1 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 38% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Mineirao that hosts another battle between CA Mineiro and Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Wendell is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Mineiro so far.
- 15' CA Mineiro have won 475 goals from 475 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' CA Mineiro looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Everson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 34' Ferreira picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 44' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Tomas Cuello is withdrawn and Rubens gets his opportunity.
- 49' Andre Silva picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 54' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Renzo Saravia on, Natanael off on 55 minutes.
- 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 64' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Wendell is withdrawn and Enzo Diaz gets his opportunity.
- 69' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 70' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Ferreira is replaced by Lucas Ferreira.
- 71' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Andre Silva has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Calleri to step up.
- 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 78' Junior Santos is replacing Rony for the CA Mineiro side.
- 83' Rafael Monteiro has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 475 appearances.
- 84' Poor challenge from Jonathan Calleri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 85' The whistle greets Junior Alonso as he departs to be replaced by Igor Gomes.
- 90' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Alan Franco gets a card.
- 90' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 90 minute. Cedric leaves to be changed by Ruan.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
33
Rony ↓ Junior Santos 78'
- 10
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Igor Gomes 85'
- 13
- 4
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Rubens 46'
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Bernard 46'
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Renzo Saravia 55'
- 7
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 85'
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 78'
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 46'
- 14
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↑ 55'
- 8
-
44
Rubens ↑ 46'
- 1
- 47
- 20
- 19
Coach
Cuca
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 6
- 18
- 20
- 28
-
17
Andre Silva ↓ Jonathan Calleri 71'
- 32
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Lucas Ferreira 70'
- 23
Bench
- 93
- 2
-
9
Jonathan Calleri ↑ 71'
- 35
-
13
Enzo Diaz ↑ 64'
-
22
Ruan ↑ 90'
- 12
- 21
- 43
- 49
-
48
Lucas Ferreira ↑ 70'
-
47
Matheus ↑ 70'
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Paulinho | 4 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Jair | 2 |
| Alan Franco | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
55%
CA Mineiro or Sao Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

