Coritiba FBC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Coritiba FBC

0 – 1

Full Time

Sao Paulo FC

Wed 25 Feb 2026 · 22:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Coritiba FBC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

Coritiba FBC 23 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio

15 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	22	33
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	21	10

Head-to-Head

Coritiba FBC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sao Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-25 Coritiba FBC 0–1 Sao Paulo FC 2023-09-27 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Coritiba FBC 2023-04-29 Coritiba FBC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC 2022-10-20 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Coritiba FBC 2022-06-09 Coritiba FBC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

Coritiba FBC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Sao Paulo FC	H	0–1	L
11 Feb	Chapecoense AF	A	3–3	D
06 Feb	Cruzeiro EC	A	2–1	W
28 Jan	RB Bragantino	H	0–1	L
07 Dec	SC Corinthians Paulista	H	0–2	L
03 Dec	RB Bragantino	A	0–1	L

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Coritiba FBC	A	1–0	W
12 Feb	Gremio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D
29 Jan	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Vitoria	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	SC Internacional	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Coritiba FBC		Sao Paulo FC
#9	Position	#12
31	Points	27
23	Played	22
8 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 6 / 9
28	Scored	27
30	Conceded	26
-2	GD	+1
1.35	PPG	1.23
35%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

30% Clean Sheets
Coritiba FBC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Coritiba FBC are 9th (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Coritiba FBC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/3

31-45

4/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/4

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

–/8

61-75

3/2

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Coritiba FBC

Breno Lopes	8 G	1 A
Joaquin Lavega	5 G	2 A
Pedro Rocha	5 G	1 A

Sao Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	7 G	1 A
Luciano	6 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Sao Paulo FC get us underway at .
The referee brings this contest to a close. Sao Paulo FC take all three points.

Lineups

Coritiba FBC Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Calleri	4
Bruno Gomes	2
Luciano	2
Luciano Neves	2
Matheus	1
Marcos Paulo	1
Alan Franco	1
Reinaldo	1

Head to Head

Coritiba FBC Form

2026-02-25 Coritiba FBC 0–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-02-11 Chapecoense AF 3–3 Coritiba FBC D 2026-02-06 Cruzeiro EC 1–2 Coritiba FBC W 2026-01-28 Coritiba FBC 0–1 RB Bragantino L 2023-12-07 Coritiba FBC 0–2 SC Corinthians Paulista L 2023-12-03 RB Bragantino 1–0 Coritiba FBC L

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-02-25 Coritiba FBC 0–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2026-01-29 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.89 Coritiba FBC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Sao Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Coritiba FBC26% Draw30% Sao Paulo FC44%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.13

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Coritiba FBC or Draw

57%

Draw or Sao Paulo FC

74%

Coritiba FBC or Sao Paulo FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Coritiba FBC18% Draw53% Sao Paulo FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.2%

1 – 1

14%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.3%

0 – 2

8.7%

1 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

5.7%

2 – 0

4.5%

2 – 2

3.6%

0 – 3

3.6%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Coritiba FBC

Handicap	Coritiba FBC covers	Push	Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	16%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	23%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	13%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Coritiba FBC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.