CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

CA Mineiro

1 – 0

Full Time

Sao Paulo FC

Wed 18 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Fernando de Salles Nascimento (Brazil)

5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

CA Mineiro 20 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sao Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-18 CA Mineiro 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro 2025-04-06 CA Mineiro 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-11-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

CA Mineiro

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Sao Paulo FC	H	1–0	W
14 Mar	EC Vitoria	A	0–2	L
11 Mar	SC Internacional	H	1–0	W
26 Feb	Grêmio FBPA	A	1–2	L
11 Feb	Clube do Remo	H	3–3	D
04 Feb	RB Bragantino	A	0–1	L

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	CA Mineiro	A	0–1	L
15 Mar	RB Bragantino	A	2–1	W
12 Mar	Chapecoense AF	H	2–0	W
25 Feb	Coritiba FBC	A	1–0	W
12 Feb	Grêmio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

CA Mineiro		Sao Paulo FC
#9	Position	#8
24	Points	25
18	Played	18
7 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
22	Scored	23
23	Conceded	20
-1	GD	+3
1.33	PPG	1.39
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro

0-15

2/2

16-30

4/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

–/3

61-75

2/2

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro

Victor Hugo Gomes

3 G

1 A

Sao Paulo FC

Luciano	6 G	1 A
Jonathan Calleri	6 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. CA Mineiro is hosting São Paulo FC for another epic battle.
The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Eduardo Vargas	4
Paulinho	4
Luciano	2
Jonathan Calleri	2
Hulk	2
Igor Gomes	2
Jair	2
Alan Franco	2

Head to Head

CA Mineiro Form

2026-03-18 CA Mineiro 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-03-14 EC Vitoria 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2026-03-11 CA Mineiro 1–0 SC Internacional W 2026-02-26 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2026-02-11 CA Mineiro 3–3 Clube do Remo D 2026-02-04 RB Bragantino 1–0 CA Mineiro L

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-03-18 CA Mineiro 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-03-15 RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-03-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Chapecoense AF W 2026-02-25 Coritiba FBC 0–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.15 CA Mineiro xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 Sao Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: CA Mineiro or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Mineiro39% Draw30% Sao Paulo FC31%

Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.21

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw

70%

Draw or Sao Paulo FC

61%

CA Mineiro or Sao Paulo FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CA Mineiro25% Draw52% Sao Paulo FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.3%

0 – 0

13.3%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

10.4%

2 – 1

7.4%

2 – 0

1 – 2

6.8%

0 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

2.9%

3 – 0

2.6%

1 – 3

2.4%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap	CA Mineiro covers	Push	Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	21%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	19%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.