Sao Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #7 |
| 44 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 35 |
| 12 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 12 |
| 39 | Scored | 44 |
| 39 | Conceded | 40 |
| +0 | GD | +4 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.46 |
| 35% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Sao Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, CA Mineiro does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' CA Mineiro fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Gustavo Scarpa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 23' A goal from the Brazil international Pablo Maia! He fires home on 23 to make it 1-0!
- 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 33' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 37' Everson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 37.
- 42' Junior Santos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
- 43' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Rodrigo Huendra on, Marcos Antonio off on 43 minutes.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Enzo Diaz on 45 minutes.
- 46' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Reinier exits the field as Alexsander Gomes enters on 46.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and CA Mineiro are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 56' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Igor Gomes.
- 63' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 63 minute. Ferreira leaves to be changed by Luciano.
- 68' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gustavo Scarpa is hanging Alan Franco on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 75' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Igor Gomes is replaced by Natanael.
- 79' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Andre Silva is replaced by Gonzalo Tapia on 79 minute.
- 81' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gonzalo Tapia makes it 2-0.
- 86' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- CA Mineiro will have plenty to reflect on. Sao Paulo FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 29
- 23
- 21
Bench
- 10
- 33
- 36
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 37
- 19
- 34
- 42
- 14
- 45
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Natanael 75'
- 37
- 38
- 14
- 8
-
18
Reinier ↓ Alexsander Gomes 46'
- 25
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Gustavo Scarpa 68'
- 23
Bench
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 68'
- 13
-
2
Natanael ↑ 75'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 68'
- 1
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 46'
- 30
- 31
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Paulinho | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 2 |
| Jair | 2 |
| Alan Franco | 2 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or CA Mineiro
48%
Sao Paulo FC or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.