Sao Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 27 | Points | 29 |
| 22 | Played | 21 |
| 7 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 8 |
| 27 | Scored | 27 |
| 26 | Conceded | 27 |
| +1 | GD | +0 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 32% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Morumbi that hosts another battle between Sao Paulo FC and CA Mineiro.
- 5' Rony is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
- 10' It’s high time Cuca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 23' Assisted by Damian Bobadilla with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pablo Maia makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 28' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Gabriel Teixeira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 37' The referee has no hesitation. Everson is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 37.
- 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 43' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Rodrigo Huendra comes on to replace Marcos Antonio.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Enzo Diaz.
- 46' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Reinier is replaced by Alexsander Gomes.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 60' Igor Gomes was booked on 60.
- 63' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Ferreira is replaced by Luciano on 63 minute.
- 68' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Alan Franco is withdrawn and Gustavo Scarpa gets his opportunity.
- 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 75' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Igor Gomes by Natanael on 75 minute.
- 79' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Andre Silva is withdrawn and Gonzalo Tapia gets his opportunity.
- 81' Gonzalo Tapia adds to his 0 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 86' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sao Paulo FC and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- CA Mineiro will have plenty to reflect on. Sao Paulo FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 29
- 23
- 21
Bench
- 10
- 33
- 36
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 37
- 19
- 34
- 42
- 14
- 45
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Natanael 75'
- 37
- 38
- 14
- 8
-
18
Reinier ↓ Alexsander Gomes 46'
- 25
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Gustavo Scarpa 68'
- 23
Bench
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 68'
- 13
-
2
Natanael ↑ 75'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 68'
- 1
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 46'
- 30
- 31
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Paulinho | 4 |
| Alan Franco | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 2 |
| Jair | 2 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
80%
Draw or CA Mineiro
46%
Sao Paulo FC or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.