CA Independiente vs CA Tucuman, Superliga Argentina 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Independiente vs CA Tucumán — Superliga Argentina at Libertadores de America.
- CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- CA Tucumán 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Velez Sarsfield | 27 | 51 |
| 2 | CA Talleres | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | CA Huracan | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 27 | 43 |
| 6 | CA Boca Juniors | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Independiente | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | CA Tucuman | 27 | 40 |
| 9 | CA Union | 27 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Platense | 27 | 39 |
| 11 | CS Independiente Rivadavia | 27 | 38 |
| 12 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 27 | 36 |
| 13 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | CA Lanus | 27 | 36 |
| 15 | CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 27 | 35 |
| 16 | CA Belgrano | 27 | 35 |
| 17 | CD Riestra | 27 | 35 |
| 18 | CA Tigre | 27 | 34 |
| 19 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 27 | 32 |
| 20 | CA Rosario Central | 27 | 32 |
| 21 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia | 27 | 32 |
| 22 | CA Central Cordoba | 27 | 31 |
| 23 | AA Argentinos Juniors | 27 | 30 |
| 24 | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 27 | 29 |
| 25 | CA Newell's Old Boys | 27 | 28 |
| 26 | CA Sarmiento de Junin | 27 | 26 |
| 27 | CA Banfield | 27 | 24 |
| 28 | CA Barracas Central | 27 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | CA Tucuman | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | CA Central Cordoba | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | CA Newell's Old Boys | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Nov | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | CA Huracan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Nov | CA Union | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | CA Independiente | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | CA Newell's Old Boys | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Nov | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Nov | CA Huracan | H | 4–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | CA Union | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Nov | CA Sarmiento de Junin | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Independiente | CA Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 40 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 13 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 25 | Scored | 28 |
| 17 | Conceded | 27 |
| +8 | GD | +1 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 33% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season
CA Independiente this season
31%
Clean Sheets
CA Tucuman this season
CA Tucuman this season
CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts). CA Tucuman are 8th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Independiente
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Tucuman
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Independiente
| Gabriel Avalos | 10 G | 5 A |
| Matias Abaldo | 5 G | 1 A |
CA Tucuman
| Leandro Diaz | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Libertadores de America. Ninety minutes of football awaits between CA Independiente and CA Tucuman.
- 5' CA Independiente currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Lautaro Millan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 161 appearances.
- 14' Magnificent from Gabriel Avalos! That is 43 goals in 147 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 14' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tomas Castro Ponce on 14 minutes.
- 17' Marcelo Estigarribia picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Tucuman needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 27' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Independiente is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 32' CA Tucuman fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 42' CA Independiente is showing some good football. However, CA Independiente are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' The crowd applauds Santiago Gabriel Montiel as he leaves the pitch. Diego Tarzia steps in for CA Independiente.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Independiente and CA Tucuman are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 53' It’s gonna be a card for Ivan Marcone.
- 58' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Independiente that had 161 games and scored 167 goals.
- 65' Mateo Bajamich doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 69' The referee has no hesitation. Guillermo Acosta is booked for CA Tucuman — card on 69.
- 70' CA Independiente ring the changes. Federico Vera has done his job and it is now time for Juan Fedorco to step up.
- 75' What a strike from Felipe Loyola! The score is 2-1.
- 77' That looks like a foul for a card for Mateo Bajamich.
- 82' CA Tucuman make a change. Moises Brandan trudges off to be replaced by Nestor Breitenbruch on 82 minutes.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for David Martinez. He replaces Lautaro Millan on 87 minute.
- 90' Ignacio Maestro Puch has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel Avalos on 90 minute.
- Another three points for CA Independiente.
Lineups
CA Independiente Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 33
- 9
- 3
- 2
- 23
-
4
Federico Vera ↓ Juan Fedorco 70'
- 26
- 44
- 16
- 5
-
14
Lautaro Millan ↓ David Martinez 87'
Bench
-
11
Federico Mancuello ↑ 70'
- 15
- 34
- 17
-
18
Ignacio Maestro Puch ↑ 90'
- 25
-
21
David Martinez ↑ 87'
- 28
- 35
- 32
-
29
Juan Fedorco ↑ 70'
-
27
Diego Tarzia ↑ 46'
Coach
Julio Vaccari
CA Tucumán Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6
- 8
- 25
- 19
-
37
Mateo Coronel ↓ Franco Nicola 82'
-
9
Mateo Bajamich ↓ Lucas Ambrogio 82'
- 18
- 20
- 32
- 26
- 16
Bench
- 7
-
15
Nestor Breitenbruch ↑ 82'
- 3
-
27
Lucas Ambrogio ↑ 82'
- 39
- 2
- 40
-
10
Franco Nicola ↑ 82'
- 24
-
23
Francisco Bonfiglio ↑ 90'
-
41
Rodrigo Melo ↑ 70'
- 12
Coach
Facundo Sava
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rodrigo Aliendro | 2 |
| Renzo Tesuri | 1 |
| Augusto Lotti | 1 |
| Gabriel Avalos | 1 |
| Felipe Loyola | 1 |
| Fernando Gaibor | 1 |
| Mateo Bajamich | 1 |
| Emmanuel Gigliotti | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Independiente Form
2024-12-10
CA Independiente
2–1
CA Tucuman
W
2024-12-01
CA Independiente
2–0
CA Central Cordoba
W
2024-11-26
CA Newell's Old Boys
2–1
CA Independiente
L
2024-11-21
CA Independiente
1–0
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata
W
2024-11-10
CA Huracan
1–0
CA Independiente
L
2024-11-06
CA Independiente
3–0
CA Union
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.19
CA Independiente xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
CA Tucumán xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Independiente win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.82
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
CA Independiente or Draw
80%
Draw or CA Tucumán
50%
CA Independiente or CA Tucumán
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Independiente win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.7%
1 – 0
18%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — CA Independiente
| Handicap | CA Independiente covers | Push | CA Tucumán covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 26% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
53%
✗
CA Tucumán keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

