CA Independiente vs CA Tucuman, Superliga Argentina 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Independiente vs CA Tucuman — Superliga Argentina at Libertadores de America.
- CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- CA Tucuman 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Velez Sarsfield | 27 | 51 |
| 2 | CA Talleres | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | CA Huracan | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 27 | 43 |
| 6 | CA Boca Juniors | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Independiente | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | CA Tucuman | 27 | 40 |
| 9 | CA Union | 27 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Platense | 27 | 39 |
| 11 | CS Independiente Rivadavia | 27 | 38 |
| 12 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 27 | 36 |
| 13 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | CA Lanus | 27 | 36 |
| 15 | CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 27 | 35 |
| 16 | CA Belgrano | 27 | 35 |
| 17 | CD Riestra | 27 | 35 |
| 18 | CA Tigre | 27 | 34 |
| 19 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 27 | 32 |
| 20 | CA Rosario Central | 27 | 32 |
| 21 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia | 27 | 32 |
| 22 | CA Central Cordoba | 27 | 31 |
| 23 | AA Argentinos Juniors | 27 | 30 |
| 24 | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 27 | 29 |
| 25 | CA Newell's Old Boys | 27 | 28 |
| 26 | CA Sarmiento de Junin | 27 | 26 |
| 27 | CA Banfield | 27 | 24 |
| 28 | CA Barracas Central | 27 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | CA Tucuman | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | CA Central Cordoba | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | CA Newell's Old Boys | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Nov | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | CA Huracan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Nov | CA Union | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | CA Independiente | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | CA Newell's Old Boys | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Nov | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Nov | CA Huracan | H | 4–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | CA Union | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Nov | CA Sarmiento de Junin | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Independiente | CA Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 40 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 13 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 25 | Scored | 28 |
| 17 | Conceded | 27 |
| +8 | GD | +1 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 33% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season
CA Independiente this season
42%
Clean Sheets
CA Tucuman this season
CA Tucuman this season
CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts). CA Tucuman are 8th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Tucuman
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/5
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Independiente
| Gabriel Avalos | 11 G | 5 A |
| Matias Abaldo | 5 G | 3 A |
| Santiago Gabriel Montiel | 4 G | 4 A |
CA Tucuman
| Leandro Diaz | 7 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Independiente host CA Tucumán — let the battle begin!
- 5' CA Tucumán are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Independiente side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 14' Magnificent from Gabriel Avalos! That is 48 goals in 163 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 14' It’s gonna be a card for Tomas Castro Ponce.
- 17' It’s a booking for CA Tucuman player. Marcelo Estigarribia gets a card.
- 22' CA Tucumán have won 190 goals from 186 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 27' Nicolas Romero has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 32' Gianluca Ferrari needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 37' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Diego Tarzia is replacing Santiago Gabriel Montiel for the CA Independiente side.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Francisco Bonfiglio, as he is very good at scoring at Libertadores de America with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ivan Marcone on 53 minutes.
- 58' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Independiente and CA Tucumán are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 65' Magnificent from Mateo Bajamich! That is 4 goals in 287 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Guillermo Acosta.
- 70' Another substitution for CA Independiente to replace Federico Vera by Juan Fedorco on 70 minute.
- 75' A goal from the Chile international Felipe Loyola! He fires home on 75 to make it 2-1!
- 77' That is a card for CA Tucuman. Mateo Bajamich will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' Time for substitution for CA Tucuman. Moises Brandan is replaced by Nestor Breitenbruch.
- 87' CA Independiente manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Martinez is hanging Lautaro Millan on the field on 87 minute.
- 90' CA Independiente make a change. Gabriel Avalos trudges off to be replaced by Ignacio Maestro Puch on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — CA Independiente 2-1 CA Tucumán. Honours even.
Lineups
CA Independiente Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 33
- 9
- 3
- 2
- 23
-
4
Federico Vera ↓ Juan Fedorco 70'
- 26
- 44
- 16
- 5
-
14
Lautaro Millan ↓ David Martinez 87'
Bench
-
11
Federico Mancuello ↑ 70'
- 15
- 34
- 17
-
18
Ignacio Maestro Puch ↑ 90'
- 25
-
21
David Martinez ↑ 87'
- 28
- 35
- 32
-
29
Juan Fedorco ↑ 70'
-
27
Diego Tarzia ↑ 46'
Coach
Julio Vaccari
CA Tucuman Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6
- 8
- 25
- 19
-
37
Mateo Coronel ↓ Franco Nicola 82'
-
9
Mateo Bajamich ↓ Lucas Ambrogio 82'
- 18
- 20
- 32
- 26
- 16
Bench
- 7
-
15
Nestor Breitenbruch ↑ 82'
- 3
-
27
Lucas Ambrogio ↑ 82'
- 39
- 2
- 40
-
10
Franco Nicola ↑ 82'
- 24
-
23
Francisco Bonfiglio ↑ 90'
-
41
Rodrigo Melo ↑ 70'
- 12
Coach
Facundo Sava
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Avalos | 2 |
| Felipe Loyola | 2 |
| Rodrigo Aliendro | 2 |
| Favio Alvarez | 1 |
| Sebastian Palacios | 1 |
| Franco Mussis | 1 |
| Renzo Tesuri | 1 |
| Augusto Lotti | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Independiente Form
2024-12-10
CA Independiente
2–1
CA Tucuman
W
2024-12-01
CA Independiente
2–0
CA Central Cordoba
W
2024-11-26
CA Newell's Old Boys
2–1
CA Independiente
L
2024-11-21
CA Independiente
1–0
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata
W
2024-11-10
CA Huracan
1–0
CA Independiente
L
2024-11-06
CA Independiente
3–0
CA Union
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.19
CA Independiente xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
CA Tucuman xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Independiente win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.82
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
CA Independiente or Draw
80%
Draw or CA Tucuman
50%
CA Independiente or CA Tucuman
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Independiente win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.7%
1 – 0
18%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — CA Independiente
| Handicap | CA Independiente covers | Push | CA Tucuman covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 26% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
53%
✗
CA Tucuman keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

