CA Tucuman vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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Liga Profesional · 2023

CA Tucuman

1 – 0

Full Time

CA Independiente

Sun 23 Jul 2023 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Marcelo Estigarribia pen 19' 1–0

Braian Guille 23' Y

Nicolas Romero 41' Y

Y 45' Ayrton Costa

Marcelo Ortiz 63' Y

Ramiro Ruiz 68' Y

Y 70' Sergio Ortiz

Y 73' Joaquin Laso

Bruno Bianchi 86' Y

Bruno Bianchi 90' YR

Y 90' Matias Gimenez

Luis Ojeda 91' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Tucuman vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina .

CA Tucuman 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CA Velez Sarsfield	27	51
2	CA Talleres	27	48
3	Racing Club	27	46
4	CA Huracan	27	46
5	CA River Plate	27	43
6	CA Boca Juniors	27	42
7	CA Independiente	27	40
8	CA Tucuman	27	40
9	CA Union	27	40
10	CA Platense	27	39
11	CS Independiente Rivadavia	27	38
12	Estudiantes de La Plata	27	36
13	Instituto AC Cordoba	27	36
14	CA Lanus	27	36
15	CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba	27	35
16	CA Belgrano	27	35
17	CD Riestra	27	35
18	CA Tigre	27	34
19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	27	32
20	CA Rosario Central	27	32
21	CSyD Defensa y Justicia	27	32
22	CA Central Cordoba	27	31
23	AA Argentinos Juniors	27	30
24	CA San Lorenzo de Almagro	27	29
25	CA Newell's Old Boys	27	28
26	CA Sarmiento de Junin	27	26
27	CA Banfield	27	24
28	CA Barracas Central	27	23

Head-to-Head

CA Tucuman 7 games · Avg 2.4 goals CA Independiente

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-23 CA Tucuman 1–0 CA Independiente 2022-07-24 CA Independiente 0–1 CA Tucuman 2021-08-24 CA Tucuman 2–0 CA Independiente 2019-09-21 CA Tucuman 0–1 CA Independiente 2018-10-28 CA Tucuman 4–2 CA Independiente

Recent Form

CA Tucuman

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jul	CA Independiente	H	1–0	W
17 Jul	CA Newell's Old Boys	A	0–0	D
12 Jul	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	H	2–0	W
07 Jul	CA Huracan	A	1–0	W
01 Jul	CA Union	H	1–0	W
25 Jun	CA Sarmiento de Junin	A	1–4	L

CA Independiente

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jul	CA Tucuman	A	0–1	L
17 Jul	CA Central Cordoba	A	1–0	W
11 Jul	CA Newell's Old Boys	H	0–2	L
07 Jul	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	A	1–1	D
02 Jul	CA Huracan	H	1–0	W
24 Jun	CA Union	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

CA Tucuman		CA Independiente
#8	Position	#7
40	Points	40
27	Played	27
11 / 7 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 13 / 5
28	Scored	25
27	Conceded	17
+1	GD	+8
1.48	PPG	1.48
41%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

42% Clean Sheets
CA Tucuman this season

30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Tucuman are 8th (40 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Tucuman

0-15

–/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/5

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CA Independiente

0-15

3/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

5/5

61-75

–/3

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Tucuman

Leandro Diaz

7 G

1 A

CA Independiente

Gabriel Avalos	11 G	5 A
Matias Abaldo	5 G	3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . CA Tucuman are looking to make home advantage count against CA Independiente.
5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Tucuman side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
10' The 27-year-old Matias Gimenez has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
15' A quiet spell here at . CA Independiente seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
19' Marcelo Estigarribia has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
23' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Braian Guille.
28' CA Independiente fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
33' CA Tucuman are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Independiente that had 187 games and scored 190 goals.
41' A moment of madness from Nicolas Romero on 41 minutes earns him a card. CA Tucuman will be frustrated.
45' The referee calls foul for Ayrton Costa. He receives a card.
46' Another change for CA Independiente made on 46 minute. Martin Sarrafiore leaves to be changed by Matias Gimenez.
51' CA Tucuman started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
56' Mateo Coronel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
61' CA Independiente are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
63' CA Tucuman receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
64' A change in the CA Tucuman ranks — Braian Guille exits the field as Ramiro Ruiz enters on 64.
68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ramiro Ruiz on 68 minutes.
70' CA Independiente player sees a card in front of him.
71' The CA Tucuman bench stirs into life. Mateo Coronel is withdrawn and Bautista Kociubinski gets his opportunity.
73' The referee has no hesitation. Joaquin Laso is booked for CA Independiente — card on 73.
78' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
81' Another substitution for CA Tucuman to replace Javier Ostachuk by Francisco Di Franco on 81 minute.
86' That looks like a foul for a card for Bruno Bianchi.
88' Ignacio Maestro Puch has so much to prove this time. He replaces Guillermo Acosta on 88 minute.
90' Bruno Bianchi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
That’s it! Another goalless match for CA Tucuman and CA Independiente (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

CA Tucuman Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

CA Independiente Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

33
Rodrigo Rey
14
Martin Sarrafiore ↓ Matias Gimenez 46'
2
Joaquin Laso
23
Ivan Marcone
9
Martin Cauteruccio
79
Ayrton Costa
4
Javier Ostachuk
29
Braian Martinez
28
Sergio Ortiz
30
Mateo Barcia
13
Javier Baez

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gabriel Avalos	2
Felipe Loyola	2
Rodrigo Aliendro	2
Augusto Lotti	1
Fernando Gaibor	1
Mateo Bajamich	1
Emmanuel Gigliotti	1
Marcelo Estigarribia	1

Head to Head

CA Tucuman Form

2023-07-23 CA Tucuman 1–0 CA Independiente W 2023-07-17 CA Newell's Old Boys 0–0 CA Tucuman D 2023-07-12 CA Tucuman 2–0 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata W 2023-07-07 CA Huracan 0–1 CA Tucuman W 2023-07-01 CA Tucuman 1–0 CA Union W 2023-06-25 CA Sarmiento de Junin 4–1 CA Tucuman L

CA Independiente Form

2023-07-23 CA Tucuman 1–0 CA Independiente L 2023-07-17 CA Central Cordoba 0–1 CA Independiente W 2023-07-11 CA Independiente 0–2 CA Newell's Old Boys L 2023-07-07 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1–1 CA Independiente D 2023-07-02 CA Independiente 1–0 CA Huracan W 2023-06-24 CA Union 3–0 CA Independiente L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.07 CA Tucuman xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.64 CA Independiente xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Tucuman49% Draw32% CA Independiente19%

Actual: CA Tucuman win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes32% 0% No68%

Avg goals/match: 1.71

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	79%	21%
± 1.5	51%	49%
± 2.5	25%	75%
± 3.5	10%	90%
± 4.5	4%	96%

Double Chance

CA Tucuman or Draw

81%

Draw or CA Independiente

51%

CA Tucuman or CA Independiente

68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

CA Tucuman28% Draw59% CA Independiente13%

Actual: CA Tucuman win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

20.7%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 1

10.1%

2 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.4%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 1

2.4%

2 – 2

2.2%

4 – 0

0.9%

Asian Handicap — CA Tucuman

Handicap	CA Tucuman covers	Push	CA Independiente covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	26%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	15%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

CA Tucuman keeps clean sheet

53% ✓

CA Independiente keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.