CA Tucuman vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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Liga Profesional · 2023

CA Tucuman

1 – 0

Full Time

CA Independiente

Sun 23 Jul 2023 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Marcelo Estigarribia pen 19' 1–0

Braian Guille 23' Y

Nicolas Romero 41' Y

Y 45' Ayrton Costa

Marcelo Ortiz 63' Y

Ramiro Ruiz 68' Y

Y 70' Sergio Ortiz

Y 73' Joaquin Laso

Bruno Bianchi 86' Y

Bruno Bianchi 90' YR

Y 90' Matias Gimenez

Luis Ojeda 91' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Tucuman vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina .

CA Tucuman 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CA Velez Sarsfield	27	51
2	CA Talleres	27	48
3	Racing Club	27	46
4	CA Huracan	27	46
5	CA River Plate	27	43
6	CA Boca Juniors	27	42
7	CA Independiente	27	40
8	CA Tucuman	27	40
9	CA Union	27	40
10	CA Platense	27	39
11	CS Independiente Rivadavia	27	38
12	Estudiantes de La Plata	27	36
13	Instituto AC Córdoba	27	36
14	CA Lanus	27	36
15	CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba	27	35
16	CA Belgrano	27	35
17	CD Riestra	27	35
18	CA Tigre	27	34
19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	27	32
20	CA Rosario Central	27	32
21	CSyD Defensa y Justicia	27	32
22	CA Central Córdoba	27	31
23	AA Argentinos Juniors	27	30
24	CA San Lorenzo de Almagro	27	29
25	CA Newell's Old Boys	27	28
26	CA Sarmiento de Junín	27	26
27	CA Banfield	27	24
28	CA Barracas Central	27	23

Head-to-Head

CA Tucuman 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals CA Independiente

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-23 CA Tucuman 1–0 CA Independiente 2022-07-24 CA Independiente 0–1 CA Tucuman 2021-08-24 CA Tucuman 2–0 CA Independiente 2019-09-21 CA Tucuman 0–1 CA Independiente 2018-10-28 CA Tucuman 4–2 CA Independiente

Recent Form

CA Tucuman

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jul	CA Independiente	H	1–0	W
17 Jul	CA Newell's Old Boys	A	0–0	D
12 Jul	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	H	2–0	W
07 Jul	CA Huracan	A	1–0	W
01 Jul	CA Union	H	1–0	W
25 Jun	CA Sarmiento de Junín	A	1–4	L

CA Independiente

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jul	CA Tucuman	A	0–1	L
17 Jul	CA Central Córdoba	A	1–0	W
11 Jul	CA Newell's Old Boys	H	0–2	L
07 Jul	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	A	1–1	D
02 Jul	CA Huracan	H	1–0	W
24 Jun	CA Union	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

CA Tucuman		CA Independiente
#8	Position	#7
40	Points	40
27	Played	27
11 / 7 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 13 / 5
28	Scored	25
27	Conceded	17
+1	GD	+8
1.48	PPG	1.48
41%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
CA Tucuman this season

29% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Tucuman are 8th (40 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Tucuman

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/4

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CA Independiente

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/3

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Tucuman

Leandro Diaz

7 G

1 A

CA Independiente

Gabriel Avalos	11 G	5 A
Matias Abaldo	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CA Tucuman launch into their encounter with CA Independiente.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Independiente is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Martin Cauteruccio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Tucuman.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joaquin Laso, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
19' Marcelo Estigarribia adds to his 3 season tally! CA Tucuman lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
23' Braian Guille picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
33' The travelling CA Independiente supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
38' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Tucuman and CA Independiente are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
41' It’s gonna be a card for Nicolas Romero.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Ayrton Costa is booked for CA Independiente — card on 45.
46' Matias Gimenez gets the nod from CA Independiente. He replaces Martin Sarrafiore and will look to change the dynamic.
51' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
56' CA Tucuman have won 165 goals from 160 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
61' The 34-year-old Matias Orihuela has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
63' Marcelo Ortiz is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
64' Time for substitution for CA Tucuman. Braian Guille is replaced by Ramiro Ruiz.
68' Ramiro Ruiz is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
70' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sergio Ortiz on 70 minutes.
71' The CA Tucuman bench stirs into life. Mateo Coronel is withdrawn and Bautista Kociubinski gets his opportunity.
73' It’s a booking for CA Independiente player. Joaquin Laso gets a card.
78' Ayrton Costa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 161 appearances.
81' CA Tucuman ring the changes. Javier Ostachuk has done his job and it is now time for Francisco Di Franco to step up.
86' CA Tucuman receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
88' Ignacio Maestro Puch has so much to prove this time. He replaces Guillermo Acosta on 88 minute.
90' Bruno Bianchi is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
The referee brings this contest to a close. CA Tucuman take all three points.

Lineups

CA Tucuman Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

CA Independiente Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

33
Rodrigo Rey
14
Martin Sarrafiore ↓ Matias Gimenez 46'
2
Joaquin Laso
23
Ivan Marcone
9
Martin Cauteruccio
79
Ayrton Costa
4
Javier Ostachuk
29
Braian Martinez
28
Sergio Ortiz
30
Mateo Barcia
13
Javier Baez

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rodrigo Aliendro	2
Renzo Tesuri	1
Augusto Lotti	1
Gabriel Avalos	1
Felipe Loyola	1
Fernando Gaibor	1
Mateo Bajamich	1
Emmanuel Gigliotti	1

Head to Head

CA Tucuman Form

2023-07-23 CA Tucuman 1–0 CA Independiente W 2023-07-17 CA Newell's Old Boys 0–0 CA Tucuman D 2023-07-12 CA Tucuman 2–0 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata W 2023-07-07 CA Huracan 0–1 CA Tucuman W 2023-07-01 CA Tucuman 1–0 CA Union W 2023-06-25 CA Sarmiento de Junín 4–1 CA Tucuman L

CA Independiente Form

2023-07-23 CA Tucuman 1–0 CA Independiente L 2023-07-17 CA Central Córdoba 0–1 CA Independiente W 2023-07-11 CA Independiente 0–2 CA Newell's Old Boys L 2023-07-07 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1–1 CA Independiente D 2023-07-02 CA Independiente 1–0 CA Huracan W 2023-06-24 CA Union 3–0 CA Independiente L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.07 CA Tucuman xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.64 CA Independiente xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Tucuman49% Draw32% CA Independiente19%

Actual: CA Tucuman win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes32% 0% No68%

Avg goals/match: 1.71

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	79%	21%
± 1.5	51%	49%
± 2.5	25%	75%
± 3.5	10%	90%
± 4.5	4%	96%

Double Chance

CA Tucuman or Draw

81%

Draw or CA Independiente

51%

CA Tucuman or CA Independiente

68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

CA Tucuman28% Draw59% CA Independiente13%

Actual: CA Tucuman win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

20.7%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 1

10.1%

2 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.4%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 1

2.4%

2 – 2

2.2%

4 – 0

0.9%

Asian Handicap — CA Tucuman

Handicap	CA Tucuman covers	Push	CA Independiente covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	26%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	15%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

CA Tucuman keeps clean sheet

53% ✓

CA Independiente keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.