Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Southampton FC

Fri 29 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Amex Stadium 31,542 HT 45' · FT 45'

Kaoru Mitoma 29' 1–0

1–1 59' Flynn Downes

Y 12' Flynn Downes

Matt O'Riley 16' Y

Y 31' Kyle Walker-Peters

Y 55' Taylor Harwood-Bellis

Mats Wieffer 90' Y

Y 90' Tyler Dibling

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Amex Stadium.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Jones
Assistant 1 Neil Davies
Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	38	39
2	Burnley FC	38	22
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	38	20
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	0	0
5	Coventry City FC	0	0
6	Hull City AFC	0	0
7	Ipswich Town FC	0	0
8	Arsenal FC	0	0
9	Manchester City FC	0	0
10	Manchester United FC	0	0
11	Aston Villa FC	0	0
12	Liverpool FC	0	0
13	AFC Bournemouth	0	0
14	Sunderland AFC	0	0
15	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	0	0
16	Brentford FC	0	0
17	Chelsea FC	0	0
18	Fulham FC	0	0
19	Newcastle United FC	0	0
20	Everton FC	0	0
21	Leeds United FC	0	0
22	Crystal Palace FC	0	0
23	Nottingham Forest FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

Brighton & Hove Albion FC 12 games · Avg 2.9 goals Southampton FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Southampton FC 2023-05-21 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–1 Southampton FC 2022-12-26 Southampton FC 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2022-04-24 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–2 Southampton FC 2021-12-04 Southampton FC 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D
23 Nov	AFC Bournemouth	A	2–1	W
09 Nov	Manchester City FC	H	2–1	W
02 Nov	Liverpool FC	A	1–2	L
26 Oct	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
19 Oct	Newcastle United FC	A	1–0	W

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	1–1	D
24 Nov	Liverpool FC	H	2–3	L
09 Nov	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	0–2	L
02 Nov	Everton FC	H	1–0	W
26 Oct	Manchester City FC	A	0–1	L
19 Oct	Leicester City FC	H	2–3	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Brighton & Hove Albion FC get us underway at Amex Stadium.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Brighton & Hove Albion FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Southampton FC's compact 5-4-1.
10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 348 games and scored 417 goals.
12' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 12.
16' Poor challenge from Matt O'Riley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
21' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
26' Brighton & Hove Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
29' Kaoru Mitoma does the damage! The net is bulging and Brighton & Hove Albion FC surge ahead!
31' It’s gonna be a card for Kyle Walker-Peters.
36' It’s high time Fabian Hürzeler made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
41' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
46' Southampton FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
51' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
55' Taylor Harwood-Bellis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
59' Brilliant from the ! Flynn Downes makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 59.
64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
65' Southampton FC ring the changes. Flynn Downes has done his job and it is now time for Joe Aribo to step up.
70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Brighton & Hove Albion FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
72' Another substitution for Brighton & Hove Albion FC to replace Tariq Lamptey by Lewis Dunk on 72 minute.
73' Another substitution for Brighton & Hove Albion FC to replace Matt O'Riley by Mats Wieffer on 73 minute.
78' The 24-year-old Georginio Rutter has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
79' The crowd applauds Danny Welbeck as he leaves the pitch. Evan Ferguson steps in for Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
84' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
88' Yankubah Minteh gets the nod from Brighton & Hove Albion FC. He replaces Georginio Rutter and will look to change the dynamic.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Mats Wieffer.
90' Ben Brereton is replacing Adam Armstrong for the Southampton FC side.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

18
Danny Welbeck ↓ Evan Ferguson 79'
33
Matt O'Riley ↓ Mats Wieffer 73'
14
Georginio Rutter ↓ Yankubah Minteh 88'
30
Pervis Estupinan
29
Jan Paul van Hecke
9
Joao Pedro ↓ Simon Adingra 72'
3
Igor Julio
1
Bart Verbruggen
22
Kaoru Mitoma
2
Tariq Lamptey ↓ Lewis Dunk 72'
26
Yasin Ayari

Bench

23
Jason Steele
5
Lewis Dunk ↑ 72'
27
Mats Wieffer ↑ 73'
10
Julio Enciso
11
Simon Adingra ↑ 72'
28
Evan Ferguson ↑ 79'
53
Jacob Slater
17
Yankubah Minteh ↑ 88'
44
Ruairi McConville

Coach Fabian Hürzeler

Southampton FC Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

5
Jack Stephens
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
4
Flynn Downes ↓ Joe Aribo 65'
13
Joe Lumley
9
Adam Armstrong ↓ Ben Brereton 90'
3
Ryan Manning
16
Yukinari Sugawara ↓ Ryan Fraser 65'
19
Cameron Archer ↓ Kamal Deen Sulemana 88'
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
18
Mateus Fernandes
33
Tyler Dibling

Bench

Coach Russell Martin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
James Ward-Prowse	4
Evan Ferguson	3
Danny Ings	3
Lewis Dunk	2
Romain Perraud	2
Adam Lallana	2
Neal Maupay	2
Pascal Gross	2

Head to Head

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Form

2024-11-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2024-11-23 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2024-11-09 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 Manchester City FC W 2024-11-02 Liverpool FC 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 2024-10-26 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC D 2024-10-19 Newcastle United FC 0–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W

Southampton FC Form

2024-11-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2024-11-24 Southampton FC 2–3 Liverpool FC L 2024-11-09 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2–0 Southampton FC L 2024-11-02 Southampton FC 1–0 Everton FC W 2024-10-26 Manchester City FC 1–0 Southampton FC L 2024-10-19 Southampton FC 2–3 Leicester City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Southampton FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Brighton & Hove Albion FC50% Draw27% Southampton FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Southampton FC

50%

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Southampton FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brighton & Hove Albion FC33% Draw48% Southampton FC19%

Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10.8%

0 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

8.9%

2 – 0

8.7%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap	Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers	Push	Southampton FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.