Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Southampton FC

Fri 29 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Amex Stadium 31,542 HT 45' · FT 45'

Kaoru Mitoma 29' 1–0

1–1 59' Flynn Downes

Y 12' Flynn Downes

Matt O'Riley 16' Y

Y 31' Kyle Walker-Peters

Y 55' Taylor Harwood-Bellis

Mats Wieffer 90' Y

Y 90' Tyler Dibling

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Amex Stadium.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC 7 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Jones
Assistant 1 Neil Davies
Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton

4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	7	21
2	Arsenal FC	7	18
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	7	16
4	Chelsea FC	7	13
5	Liverpool FC	7	12
6	Brentford FC	7	10
7	Leeds United FC	7	10
8	Everton FC	7	10
9	Hull City AFC	7	9
10	Ipswich Town FC	7	9
11	Newcastle United FC	7	8
12	Aston Villa FC	7	8
13	Manchester United FC	7	7
14	Crystal Palace FC	7	7
15	AFC Bournemouth	7	6
16	Tottenham Hotspur FC	7	6
17	Coventry City FC	7	6
18	Fulham FC	7	5
19	Nottingham Forest FC	7	5
20	Sunderland AFC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Brighton & Hove Albion FC 12 games · Avg 2.9 goals Southampton FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Southampton FC 2023-05-21 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–1 Southampton FC 2022-12-26 Southampton FC 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2022-04-24 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–2 Southampton FC 2021-12-04 Southampton FC 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D
23 Nov	AFC Bournemouth	A	2–1	W
09 Nov	Manchester City FC	H	2–1	W
02 Nov	Liverpool FC	A	1–2	L
26 Oct	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
19 Oct	Newcastle United FC	A	1–0	W

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	1–1	D
24 Nov	Liverpool FC	H	2–3	L
09 Nov	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	0–2	L
02 Nov	Everton FC	H	1–0	W
26 Oct	Manchester City FC	A	0–1	L
19 Oct	Leicester City FC	H	2–3	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

71% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

0-15

2/3

16-30

2/–

31-45

5/1

46-60

4/–

61-75

2/1

76+

5/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Pascal Gross	3 G	4 A
Charalampos Kostoulas	3 G	2 A
Jack Hinshelwood	3 G
Maxim De Cuyper	2 G	2 A
Yasin Ayari	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Brighton & Hove Albion FC gets underway.
5' Brighton & Hove Albion FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Brighton & Hove Albion FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Flynn Downes on 12.
16' Matt O'Riley picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
26' Brighton & Hove Albion FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Southampton FC's 5-4-1 shape.
29' A stunning finish from Kaoru Mitoma — that came from absolutely nowhere!
31' Southampton FC player sees a card in front of him.
36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yasin Ayari suffering a number of foals already.
51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
55' That is a card for Southampton FC. Taylor Harwood-Bellis will be fuming at that decision.
59' What a strike from Flynn Downes! The score is 1-1.
64' It looks surprising Brighton & Hove Albion FC does not make any changes. Bart Verbruggen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
65' Another change for Southampton FC made on 65 minute. Flynn Downes leaves to be changed by Joe Aribo.
70' Brighton & Hove Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
72' Another change for Brighton & Hove Albion FC made on 72 minute. Tariq Lamptey leaves to be changed by Lewis Dunk.
73' The whistle greets Matt O'Riley as he departs to be replaced by Mats Wieffer.
78' Jack Stephens has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
79' Time for substitution for Brighton & Hove Albion FC. Danny Welbeck is replaced by Evan Ferguson.
84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
88' The Brighton & Hove Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Georginio Rutter departs to be replaced by Yankubah Minteh.
90' A moment of madness from Mats Wieffer on 90 minutes earns him a card. Brighton & Hove Albion FC will be frustrated.
90' Ben Brereton is replacing Adam Armstrong for the Southampton FC side.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

18
Danny Welbeck ↓ Evan Ferguson 79'
33
Matt O'Riley ↓ Mats Wieffer 73'
14
Georginio Rutter ↓ Yankubah Minteh 88'
30
Pervis Estupinan
29
Jan Paul van Hecke
9
Joao Pedro ↓ Simon Adingra 72'
3
Igor Julio
1
Bart Verbruggen
22
Kaoru Mitoma
2
Tariq Lamptey ↓ Lewis Dunk 72'
26
Yasin Ayari

Bench

23
Jason Steele
5
Lewis Dunk ↑ 72'
27
Mats Wieffer ↑ 73'
10
Julio Enciso
11
Simon Adingra ↑ 72'
28
Evan Ferguson ↑ 79'
53
Jacob Slater
17
Yankubah Minteh ↑ 88'
44
Ruairi McConville

Coach Fabian Hürzeler

Southampton FC Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

5
Jack Stephens
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
4
Flynn Downes ↓ Joe Aribo 65'
13
Joe Lumley
9
Adam Armstrong ↓ Ben Brereton 90'
3
Ryan Manning
16
Yukinari Sugawara ↓ Ryan Fraser 65'
19
Cameron Archer ↓ Kamal Deen Sulemana 88'
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
18
Mateus Fernandes
33
Tyler Dibling

Bench

Coach Russell Martin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
James Ward-Prowse	4
Evan Ferguson	3
Danny Ings	3
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg	2
Kaoru Mitoma	2
Lewis Dunk	2
Romain Perraud	2
Adam Lallana	2

Head to Head

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Form

2024-11-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2024-11-23 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2024-11-09 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 Manchester City FC W 2024-11-02 Liverpool FC 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 2024-10-26 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC D 2024-10-19 Newcastle United FC 0–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W

Southampton FC Form

2024-11-29 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2024-11-24 Southampton FC 2–3 Liverpool FC L 2024-11-09 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2–0 Southampton FC L 2024-11-02 Southampton FC 1–0 Everton FC W 2024-10-26 Manchester City FC 1–0 Southampton FC L 2024-10-19 Southampton FC 2–3 Leicester City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Southampton FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Brighton & Hove Albion FC50% Draw27% Southampton FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Southampton FC

50%

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Southampton FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brighton & Hove Albion FC33% Draw48% Southampton FC19%

Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10.8%

0 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

8.9%

2 – 0

8.7%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap	Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers	Push	Southampton FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.