Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 17:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Dayot Upamecano
0–2 9' Harry Kane
0–3 72' Harry Kane
0–4 90+3' Harry Kane

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov FC Bayern Munchen H 0–4 L
01 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
29 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
25 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–0 W
20 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
07 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 4–0 W
01 Nov 1. FC Saarbrücken A 1–2 L
28 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 H 8–0 W
24 Oct Galatasaray SK A 3–1 W
21 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
08 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund FC Bayern Munchen
#1 Position #2
12 Points 10
4 Played 4
4 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
9 Scored 14
2 Conceded 2
+7 GD +12
3.00 PPG 2.50
100% Win % 75%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G
FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund22% Draw26% FC Bayern Munchen52%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
48%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
78%
Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern Munchen
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund16% Draw45% FC Bayern Munchen39%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
2.9%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.