Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Niclas Fullkrug 7' 1–0
1–1 9' Robin Gosens
1–2 31' Leonardo Bonucci pen
Nico Schlotterbeck 49' 2–2
Julian Brandt 54' 3–2
Julian Ryerson 71' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–2 W
04 Oct AC Milan H 0–0 D
29 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 2–4 L
03 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–3 L
30 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–1 L
23 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 0–2 L
20 Sep Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
16 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund 1. FC Union Berlin
#2 Position #11
73 Points 39
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
70 Scored 44
34 Conceded 58
+36 GD -14
2.15 PPG 1.15
65% Win % 29%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.43 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund69% Draw19% 1. FC Union Berlin12%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
88%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
31%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FC Union Berlin
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund50% Draw38% 1. FC Union Berlin12%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
40%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.