Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 20 Oct 2023 · 18:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 80,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Brandt 67' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
07 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–2 W
04 Oct AC Milan H 0–0 D
29 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
07 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
01 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–4 L
23 Sep 1. FC Koln H 2–1 W
17 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–4 L
02 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund SV Werder Bremen
#2 Position #15
73 Points 32
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 18
70 Scored 37
34 Conceded 60
+36 GD -23
2.15 PPG 0.94
65% Win % 24%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.42 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund70% Draw19% SV Werder Bremen11%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
88%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
30%
Borussia Dortmund or SV Werder Bremen
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund52% Draw38% SV Werder Bremen10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 21% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 22% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
46%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.