Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 4 May 2025 · 15:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Piero Hincapie og 49' 2–0
2–1 82' Florian Wirtz
2–2 90+3' Jonathan Tah

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
26 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
19 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
12 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L
30 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
26 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
20 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
05 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
01 Apr Arminia Bielefeld A 1–2 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#3 Position #5
10 Points 7
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
12 Scored 10
3 Conceded 5
+9 GD +5
2.50 PPG 1.75
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg43% Draw25% Bayer 04 Leverkusen32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
68%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
57%
SC Freiburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg34% Draw40% Bayer 04 Leverkusen26%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 19% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.