Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester City FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Tue 22 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Etihad Stadium 52,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bernardo Silva 7' 1–0
1–1 18' Marcus Rashford pen
Matheus Nunes 90+4' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
19 Apr Everton FC A 2–0 W
12 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 5–2 W
06 Apr Manchester United FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Leicester City FC H 2–0 W
30 Mar AFC Bournemouth A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Manchester City FC A 1–2 L
19 Apr Newcastle United FC H 4–1 W
15 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Southampton FC A 3–0 W
09 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
05 Apr Nottingham Forest FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Aston Villa FC
#9 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Etihad Stadium. Manchester City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Aston Villa FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Donyell Malen, as he is very good at scoring at Etihad Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 7' Manchester City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bernardo Silva on 7.
  • 12' Ezri Konsa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 18' Marcus Rashford has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
  • 18' Manchester City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 18.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Manchester City FC and Aston Villa FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' Nico O'Reilly is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Manchester City FC tonight.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Digne.
  • 40' Ilkay Gundogan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 45' Pau Torres has been relatively quiet despite scoring 18 goals in his last 407 appearances.
  • 50' That is a card for Aston Villa FC. Morgan Rogers will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Matty Cash has done his job and it is now time for Axel Disasi to step up.
  • 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Josko Gvardiol. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 74' Jeremy Doku gets the nod from Manchester City FC. He replaces James McAtee and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Aston Villa FC make a change. Marcus Rashford trudges off to be replaced by Ollie Watkins on 76 minutes.
  • 77' Matheus Nunes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
  • 82' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Manchester City FC and Aston Villa FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 85' The referee has no hesitation. Ollie Watkins is booked for Aston Villa FC — card on 85.
  • 86' Donyell Malen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Morgan Rogers on 86 minute.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Manchester City FC. Kevin De Bruyne is replaced by Manuel Akanji.
  • Aston Villa FC will have plenty to reflect on. Manchester City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC49% Draw31% Aston Villa FC20%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
51%
Manchester City FC or Aston Villa FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC29% Draw57% Aston Villa FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.9%
1 – 0
17.4%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 26% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.