Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
23 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
19 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
05 Oct Burnley FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–0 W
28 Sep Fulham FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Villarreal CF A 2–0 W
18 Oct Everton FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Brentford FC A 1–0 W
01 Oct AS Monaco FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep Burnley FC H 5–1 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#16 Position #1
4 Points 15
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 13
9 Conceded 5
-5 GD +8
0.80 PPG 3.00
20% Win % 100%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Rayan Cherki 3 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 2 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.96 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC27% Draw22% Manchester City FC51%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Manchester City FC
73%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC14% Draw41% Manchester City FC45%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 3
7.1%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 1
4.3%
0 – 4
3.8%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 37% — 63%
+1 37% 23% 40%
+1.5 60% — 40%
+2 60% 19% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✗
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.