Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 9.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
23 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
19 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
05 Oct Burnley FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–0 W
28 Sep Fulham FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Villarreal CF A 2–0 W
18 Oct Everton FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Brentford FC A 1–0 W
01 Oct AS Monaco FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep Burnley FC H 5–1 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#11 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.63 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC37% Draw40% Manchester City FC23%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester City FC
63%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC17% Draw69% Manchester City FC14%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
15%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
4.1%
2 – 1
3.6%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
1.2%
3 – 0
1.1%
3 – 1
0.8%
0 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 21% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 18% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
58%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.