Friday , 9 October 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC Villa Park

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–2 W
12 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L
08 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–2 W
05 Sep Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
31 Aug Arsenal FC H 0–1 L
23 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Chelsea FC H 3–0 W
12 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D
05 Sep Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D
30 Aug Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
22 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–0 W
24 May Liverpool FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brentford FC
#16 Position #4
4 Points 9
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 0
4 Scored 10
9 Conceded 4
-5 GD +6
0.80 PPG 1.80
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Brentford FC are 4th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brentford FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brentford FC
Kevin Schade 3 G
Vitaly Janelt 2 G
Keane Lewis-Potter 1 G 1 A
Michael Kayode 1 G

H2H

Predictions

0.87 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95 Brentford FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

Aston Villa FC23% Draw25% Brentford FC52%

Both Teams to Score

Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.82

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Brentford FC
77%
Aston Villa FC or Brentford FC
75%

Half-Time Result

Aston Villa FC13% Draw43% Brentford FC44%

Correct Score

0 – 2
11.1%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
0 – 3
7.1%
1 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 4
3.5%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brentford FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 24% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 19% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
15%
Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.