Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Madley
- Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
- Assistant 2 Richard West
7 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford FC | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds United FC | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull City AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United FC | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace FC | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry City FC | 8 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland AFC | 8 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Sep | Club Brugge KV | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Sep | Hull City AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Arsenal FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 24 May | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Aston Villa FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | Liverpool FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 May | AFC Bournemouth | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 May | Manchester United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #18 |
| 11 | Points | 6 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 3 / 4 |
| 9 | Scored | 6 |
| 12 | Conceded | 10 |
| -3 | GD | -4 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 38% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 9th (11 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 18th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
| Nicolas Jackson | 4 G | |
| Johan Manzambi | 2 G | 2 A |
Nottingham Forest FC
| Dan Ndoye | 2 G | |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Villa Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC.
- 5' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Nottingham Forest FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 10' Nottingham Forest FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Liam Delap scoring 1 goals.
- 15' The travelling Nottingham Forest FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 25 minute. Pau Torres leaves to be changed by Tyrone Mings.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Nicolas Jackson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nottingham Forest FC so far.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 43' Dan Ndoye catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
- 45' Poor challenge from Nicolas Jackson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Magnificent from Liam Delap! That is 26 goals in 445 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' The whistle greets Nicolas Jackson as he departs to be replaced by Tammy Abraham.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' Xaver Schlager picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 362 games and scored 507 goals.
- 63' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ibrahim M'Baye is hanging Emiliano Buendia on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 74' GOAL! Alysson scores on 74.
- 75' The referee has no hesitation. Liam Delap is booked for Nottingham Forest FC — card on 75.
- 75' Nottingham Forest FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Igor Jesus is hanging Dan Ndoye on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' Nottingham Forest FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
- 82' Ibrahim Sangare gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces James McAtee and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Spain international Pau Torres has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 88' Magnificent from Igor Jesus! That is 14 goals in 354 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from Nottingham Forest FC — Chris Wood on, Liam Delap off on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nottingham Forest FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 29
-
6
Ross Barkley ↓ Johan Manzambi 63'
- 3
- 10
- 7
- 8
-
14
Pau Torres ↓ Tyrone Mings 25'
- 1
- 22
-
11
Nicolas Jackson ↓ Tammy Abraham 46'
-
53
George Hemmings ↓ Alysson 46'
Bench
- 40
-
5
Tyrone Mings ↑ 25'
-
18
Tammy Abraham ↑ 46'
- 13
- 17
- 26
-
44
Johan Manzambi ↑ 63'
-
19
Ibrahim M'Baye ↑ 63'
-
47
Alysson ↑ 46'
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 26
- 34
- 21
- 3
- 27
-
14
Dan Ndoye ↓ Igor Jesus 75'
-
19
Liam Delap ↓ Chris Wood 90'
-
24
James McAtee ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 82'
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 7
-
9
Chris Wood ↑ 90'
- 22
-
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 82'
- 12
- 8
- 15
- 25
-
11
Igor Jesus ↑ 75'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Jota Silva | 1 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 |
| Donyell Malen | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-09-12
Aston Villa FC
1–2
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-09-05
Nottingham Forest FC
0–0
Tottenham Hotspur FC
D
2026-08-29
Liverpool FC
2–2
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-08-22
Nottingham Forest FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2026-05-24
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
AFC Bournemouth
D
2026-05-17
Manchester United FC
3–2
Nottingham Forest FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Nottingham Forest FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
61%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

