Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
18 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Dec | Perth Glory FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Melbourne City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Adelaide United FC players.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Adelaide United FC Form
2026-01-17
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2026-01-11
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–2
Adelaide United FC
D
2026-01-04
Adelaide United FC
0–4
Central Coast Mariners FC
L
2025-12-27
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
W
2025-12-20
Perth Glory FC
0–1
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-12-13
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2026-01-17
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2026-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2026-01-02
Melbourne Victory FC
3–2
Perth Glory FC
W
2025-12-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-12-20
Melbourne City FC
0–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-12-13
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
59%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 1
4.5%
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.