Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 3 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
- Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar FC | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City FC | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory FC | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory FC | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United FC | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Dec | Perth Glory FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Melbourne City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 1 | Points | 3 |
| 3 | Played | 4 |
| 0 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 1 |
| 3 | Scored | 5 |
| 8 | Conceded | 6 |
| -5 | GD | -1 |
| 0.33 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Adelaide United FC are 12th (1 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
| Brody Burkitt | 2 G |
| Joey Garuccio | 1 G |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Keegan Jelacic | 2 G | |
| Jordi Valadon | 2 G | |
| Charles Nduka | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Adelaide United FC host Melbourne Victory FC — let the battle begin!
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Adelaide United FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Vince Lia | 2 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
Head to Head
Adelaide United FC Form
2026-01-17
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2026-01-11
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–2
Adelaide United FC
D
2026-01-04
Adelaide United FC
0–4
Central Coast Mariners FC
L
2025-12-27
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
W
2025-12-20
Perth Glory FC
0–1
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-12-13
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2026-01-17
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2026-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2026-01-02
Melbourne Victory FC
3–2
Perth Glory FC
W
2025-12-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-12-20
Melbourne City FC
0–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-12-13
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
67%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4%
1 – 0
3.5%
1 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.