Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 07:30 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Adelaide United FC
#6 Position #2
38 Points 43
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
33 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+0 GD +10
1.46 PPG 1.65
38% Win % 46%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Melbourne City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Melbourne City FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 17' Against the run of play, Marcus Younis has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 27' Craig Goodwin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 233 appearances.
  • 32' Melbourne City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Adelaide United FC's shape.
  • 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' Another substitution for Melbourne City FC to replace Samuel Souprayen by Harrison Delbridge on 40 minute.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ayrton Andrioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne City FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryan White made 233 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luka Jovanovic, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 63' A change in the Adelaide United FC ranks — Yaya Dukuly exits the field as Luka Jovanovic enters on 63.
  • 68' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne City FC and Adelaide United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Max Caputo. He receives a card.
  • 75' Another substitution for Melbourne City FC to replace Max Caputo by Medin Memeti on 75 minute.
  • 78' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Anselmo is withdrawn and Craig Goodwin gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Luka Jovanovic doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 84' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Besian Kutleshi on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Harrison Delbridge has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
  • 89' The whistle greets Harry Crawford as he departs to be replaced by Austin Ayoubi.
  • 90' Jay Barnett was booked on 90.
  • The points are shared — Melbourne City FC 1-2 Adelaide United FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC33% Draw28% Adelaide United FC39%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
67%
Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC25% Draw46% Adelaide United FC29%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.