Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 17 Apr 2026 · 09:35 UTC AAMI Park 8,762 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Eli Adams
Charles Nduka 31' 1–1
Charles Nduka 34' 2–1
2–2 89' Eli Adams pen

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • VIDEO_ASSISTANT_REFEREE_N1 Adam Kersey
  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Emma Kocbek (Australia)
  • Assistant 1 Kearney Robinson
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Meimarakis
  • 4th Official Jonathon Barreiro

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC H 2–2 D
11 Apr Auckland FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Macarthur FC H 4–1 W
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Melbourne Victory FC A 2–2 D
11 Apr Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
02 Apr Macarthur FC A 2–3 L
22 Mar Sydney FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Auckland FC H 1–2 L
07 Mar Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Newcastle United Jets FC
#4 Position #1
40 Points 48
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 3 / 8
44 Scored 55
33 Conceded 39
+11 GD +16
1.54 PPG 1.85
42% Win % 58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds AAMI Park will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne Victory FC and Newcastle United Jets FC.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Diles will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Nishan Velupillay has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eli Adams on 15.
  • 19' Brilliant from the ! Eli Adams makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 19.
  • 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 31' What an equalizer from Charles Nduka!
  • 34' A goal from the Japan international Charles Nduka! He fires home on 34 to make it 2-1!
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Newcastle United Jets FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 44' Max Burgess picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 49' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Newcastle United Jets FC backline.
  • 54' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 57' A tactical swap from Newcastle United Jets FC — Xavier Bertoncello on, Zach Clough off on 57 minutes.
  • 62' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Newcastle United Jets FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Keegan Jelacic is replaced by Matthew Grimaldi on 65 minute.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Lachlan Rose as he leaves the pitch. Ben Gibson steps in for Newcastle United Jets FC.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordi Valadon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Newcastle United Jets FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Newcastle United Jets FC — Alexandro Nunes on, Clayton Taylor off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' Clarismario is replacing Nishan Velupillay for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
  • 87' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 89' Against the run of play, Eli Adams has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Joshua Rawlins was booked on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Newcastle United Jets FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw24% Newcastle United Jets FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC
60%
Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC31% Draw39% Newcastle United Jets FC30%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.6%
2 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
1 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.