Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 17 Apr 2026 · 09:35 UTC AAMI Park 8,762 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Eli Adams
Charles Nduka 31' 1–1
Charles Nduka 34' 2–1
2–2 89' Eli Adams pen

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • VIDEO_ASSISTANT_REFEREE_N1 Adam Kersey
  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Emma Kocbek (Australia)
  • Assistant 1 Kearney Robinson
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Meimarakis
  • 4th Official Jonathon Barreiro
19 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC H 2–2 D
11 Apr Auckland FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Macarthur FC H 4–1 W
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Melbourne Victory FC A 2–2 D
11 Apr Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
02 Apr Macarthur FC A 2–3 L
22 Mar Sydney FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Auckland FC H 1–2 L
07 Mar Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Newcastle United Jets FC
#4 Position #1
40 Points 48
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 3 / 8
44 Scored 55
33 Conceded 39
+11 GD +16
1.54 PPG 1.85
42% Win % 58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Newcastle United Jets FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
/3
76+
4/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Newcastle United Jets FC
Eli Adams 10 G 4 A
Clayton Taylor 9 G 3 A
Lachlan Rose 8 G 1 A
Xavier Bertoncello 7 G 1 A
Lachlan Bayliss 5 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Newcastle United Jets FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw24% Newcastle United Jets FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC
60%
Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC31% Draw39% Newcastle United Jets FC30%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.6%
2 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
1 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.