Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | Macarthur FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Apr | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Auckland FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Macarthur FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Wellington Phoenix FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 36 | Scored | 44 |
| 48 | Conceded | 33 |
| -12 | GD | +11 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 35% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| David Ball | 2 |
Head to Head
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2026-04-24
Macarthur FC
4–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2026-04-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–1
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
W
2026-04-12
Melbourne City FC
2–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2026-04-05
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2026-03-21
Brisbane Roar FC
1–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2026-03-14
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2026-04-25
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2026-04-17
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
D
2026-04-11
Auckland FC
2–2
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2026-04-05
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2026-03-21
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2026-03-15
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Macarthur FC
W
Predictions
1.4
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
67%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC
76%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC
| Handicap | Wellington Phoenix FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 20% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
15%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.