Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Fri 27 Feb 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alex King
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC 2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	4–0	W
14 Feb	Sydney FC	A	2–1	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–3	L
30 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	1–1	D
24 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#4	Position	#2
40	Points	43
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
44	Scored	46
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	+10
1.54	PPG	1.65
42%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Melbourne Victory FC have kicked off against Adelaide United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Melbourne Victory FC 1-1 Adelaide United FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Nikolaos Vergos	2
Riley McGree	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W

Adelaide United FC Form

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-20 Adelaide United FC 4–0 Perth Glory FC W 2026-02-14 Sydney FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2026-02-08 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2026-01-30 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Macarthur FC D 2026-01-24 Brisbane Roar FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.84 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw25% Adelaide United FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

56%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC33% Draw41% Adelaide United FC26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.7%

1 – 0

5.5%

3 – 1

5.2%

0 – 0

4.8%

0 – 1

4.5%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

4.1%

1 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	19%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	16%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.