Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Fri 27 Feb 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Alex King
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

19 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC 2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	4–0	W
14 Feb	Sydney FC	A	2–1	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–3	L
30 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	1–1	D
24 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#4	Position	#2
40	Points	43
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
44	Scored	46
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	+10
1.54	PPG	1.65
42%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Craig Goodwin	4
Marco Rojas	4
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Stefan Mauk	3
Ola Toivonen	2
Leroy George	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W

Adelaide United FC Form

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-20 Adelaide United FC 4–0 Perth Glory FC W 2026-02-14 Sydney FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2026-02-08 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2026-01-30 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Macarthur FC D 2026-01-24 Brisbane Roar FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.84 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw25% Adelaide United FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

56%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC33% Draw41% Adelaide United FC26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.7%

1 – 0

5.5%

3 – 1

5.2%

0 – 0

4.8%

0 – 1

4.5%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

4.1%

1 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	19%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	16%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.