Saturday , 14 November 2026

Leeds United FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
23 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
20 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
13 Sep Fulham FC A 0–1 L
30 Aug Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
23 Aug Arsenal FC A 0–5 L
18 Aug Everton FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
21 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
13 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
30 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–0 W
23 Aug Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Liverpool FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Leeds United FC AFC Bournemouth
#9 Position #7
14 Points 15
10 Played 10
3 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 3
10 Scored 16
8 Conceded 14
+2 GD +2
1.40 PPG 1.50
30% Win % 40%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
30% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Leeds United FC are 9th (14 pts). AFC Bournemouth are 7th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 3 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Noah Okafor 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G
AFC Bournemouth
Evanilson 5 G 4 A
Marcus Tavernier 5 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC or AFC Bournemouth 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC39% Draw27% AFC Bournemouth34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
66%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
61%
Leeds United FC or AFC Bournemouth
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC29% Draw44% AFC Bournemouth27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.